So today I had an opponent that was playing back at me a lot which does not happen often. Actually everyone has been playing back at me and my redline has shot down like $30 very steeply - this ever happen to anyone else?
So this guy was 3betting me from the blinds when I raised the button quite a bit. His 3bet was 12%:
77+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KJo+
I have AQo on the button and I flat. However, I think I can 4bet or 4bet shove here because I'm flipping against 5 hands, crushed by 5 hands, and beating like 12 other hands or so. My hand against his 3bet range 49% vs 42%. And I imagine he is most likely 3betting wider from the blinds.
So 4 bet, 4bet shove?
Anyway, in this hand I flatted:
888 Poker - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: 98 BB (VPIP: 13.53, PFR: 1.16, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 617)
MP: 72.7 BB (VPIP: 44.61, PFR: 20.26, 3Bet Preflop: 7.88, Hands: 1,430)
CO: 113.2 BB (VPIP: 17.97, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 3.19, Hands: 1,757)
Hero (BTN): 101 BB
SB: 137.1 BB (VPIP: 34.04, PFR: 24.47, 3Bet Preflop: 12.07, Hands: 391)
BB: 208.4 BB (VPIP: 16.02, PFR: 12.93, 3Bet Preflop: 2.71, Hands: 4,863)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q
A
fold,
fold,
fold,
Hero raises to 3 BB,
SB raises to 10 BB,
fold,
Hero calls 7 BB
Flop: (21 BB, 2 players) 6
K
6
SB checks,
Hero checks
Turn: (21 BB, 2 players) 3
SB bets 10.5 BB,
Hero calls 10.5 BB
River: (42 BB, 2 players) 5
SB bets 21 BB,
fold
Not sure why I called the turn really because I think when he checks that flop he is checking smaller pairs.
According to Flopzilla he has Ace high 35% of the time, top pair 26%, lower pp 24% and air 8%.
Again, I don't think top pair is checking and I think he is betting with air too on the flop. So he must either have Ace high or a smaller pp? Probably a smaller pp though since I have an Ace. Is this analysis correct?
Also, is it okay to post this type of analysis in this thread or should I start separate threads for these?