Yeah, we don't have to have the best hand very often. In game I actually timed out thinking about it but I was leaning strongly towards a fold. I was heavily discounting jacks because I thought a lot of the time he flats JJ on the BTN/leads flop bigger/jams turn, also not sure he ever makes such a small cbet with AK (which we block massively anyway) and he only cbets 60% of the time in position in 3 bet pots (out of 55 opportunities). I lead turn because I think he checks back IP here a lot and then just bluff catches river with AA/AK/QQ? type hands.
In hindsight he only needs to have like 0.75 non AA combos to make this a call but... meh. Exploitative fold?
The irony is while I was getting really annoyed tanking with that hand I 6 bet shoved on a UTG limping whale with KK and...
That min 5 bet is so gross... You know what he has 100% of the time but he's also running 54/30 over 80 hands. Bleh. Just couldn't fold KK twice simultaneously. If I wanted to make a big fold though I probably picked the wrong one to do it with.
Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
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#37635193
Hero (SB): $25 (100 bb)
BB: $36.18 (144.7 bb)
UTG: $16.72 (66.9 bb)
MP: $24.48 (97.9 bb)
CO: $28.01 (112 bb)
BTN: $25 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with K
K
UTG folds, MP calls $0.25, 2 folds,
Hero raises to $1.25,
BB folds,
MP raises to $2.75,
Hero raises to $7.75,
MP raises to $13,
Hero raises to $25 and is all-in, MP calls $11.48 and is all-in
Flop: ($49.21) 2
5
8
(2 players, 2 are all-in)
Turn: ($49.21) 6
(2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: ($49.21) 3
(2 players, 2 are all-in)
Results: $49.21 pot ($2.00 rake)
Final Board: 2
5
8
6
3
Hero showed K
K
and won $0.00 (-$24.48 net)
MP showed A
A
and won $47.21 ($22.73 net)