incoming tl;dr:
Sorry been away from this thread. Let me try to explain what i was saying and then ill answer the questions you guys threw out. Starting at the beginning...
So folding pre is obviously EXTREMELY nitty. But the game we play of full ring no limit holdem is a nitty world. What it comes down to is that our hand is extremely difficult to play in a +ev way OOP without a very good read on our opponent. Medium pocket pairs are good because they have built in SDV and the chance to hit a set. But we have 2 problems: its tough to get to showdown and have our hand be best, and being OOP vs a decent opponent our implied odds for when we hit a set just really arent there. So im not saying I always fold 88 here, im just saying you should have a reason to play it and not just autopilot a pair pre and call. Were OOP with no initiative, its OK to fold.
As an aside, I dont know what your cold calling range pre would be in this spot, but mine is pretty damn narrow. Think how easy it is for a good opponent to play against 77-TT/AQ or whatever you might be cold calling now.
Alright, so onto the flop. We check to the aggressor and our options come back as:
c/c: our hand has SDV and we think we can get there
c/r: we cant win by getting to showdown, but we think our opponent folds enough of the time to show a profit
c/f: we cant win. give up while its cheapest.
So as i saw it c/f>c/c>c/r.
Starting with c/r: For starters, think how often we need our opponent to fold to show a profit (someone can do this equity calc if so inclined i just know there isnt that much dead money compared to the size of our bet). We also established that our opponents range actually hits this board decently, since he flops overpairs with a decent chunk of his range. So our opponent is going to be sticky and we need him to fold a lot. Bad. And then the problem comes on the turn when were drawing to 2 outs, weve bloated the pot, and basically cant win unless we keep barelling off with no equity.
And thats where the comment that 88 is the worst hand to do this with because we just never have any equity. Its tough to say what our range preflop would be in this spot, but a hand like AQ would be better just since it has better equity. If we have anything sooted or three to a straight, those are good options to, because some of the time well see an equity jump that helps our turn equity when we barrel. And remember that the more pot equity we have the less fold equity we need to show a profit.
And another quick thing about balancing, why i wouldnt raise bluffs on this board or value hands. My personal value range in this spot is like nonexistant... it would be top set only, because im for sure folding small pps pre. So if i have THREE value combos, im not raising the flop with them (usually). And if im not raising my value combos, Im not raising bluffs either (usually).
Ok, so thats all the reasons i hate c/ring here. What about c/cing? Our reason for c/cing is almost exclusivly to get to SD. How we go about getting to showdown with 2 cards to come OOP vs a decently strong range is impossible for me to see. Basically theres no way i can plan the hand profitably from this point, which is why i just fold.
Now see if theres anything i missed...
Quote:
Originally Posted by UKGrinderUK
how about if we change the hand up one to 99?
99 is 88 in this spot. They will play exactly the same
What about if we change the Open raise to the CO, calling now or 3betting?
Pre im way more inclined to call because were farther ahead of our opponents wide range. Same for on the flop, because were going to be farther ahead vs this wide range than a typical MP range.
Im not sure I like C/R here as we rep to thin I think, if the board was more connecting i like turning weak made hands into bluffs more OTF because the board can only get worse most of the time for villian
Agree about repping too thin. As for the second part, theres really no point in ever turning a weak made hand into a bluff on the flop. We should be looking to bluff with the best hands we would be folding equity wise. Just because we have a pair doesnt mean its the best hand to bluff with.
Quote:
Originally Posted by NJD77
Do you think 88 is bad because it's too strong to turn into a bluff or because it has low equity when called?
Low equity when called. Its only to strong to bluff if we think it has SDV or can be raised for value, which it is neither.
Also, do you think c/c>c/r on the flop in a vacuum ignoring what we are going to do versus a turn barrell on say a J/Q/K/A turn. I find I make more mistakes when c/calling this flop knowing that I have to realistically call a lot of turn barrells, so I take a spot where I know I'm likely going to make a lot of mistakes on later streets and turn my hand into a bluff on earlier streets. Is this a big leak?
If the hand ended on the flop we could call profitably with 50% equity and good pot odds. What you said probably is a leak... rather than think you will make big mistakes later in the hand and bluff, think about folding.
Quote:
Originally Posted by UKGrinderUK
Actually I think an A or K on the turn is the best card to check raise on the turn when the flops so dry like this as villian will always barrel it and even if he has TPTK we now rep 2+ or sets pretty well.
To rep what?
Quote:
Originally Posted by UKGrinderUK
So if we change the open to the CO/BU are most people 3betting 88/99/1010 from the BB?
I think most people are [correctly] flatting pre
Alright, thats quite possibly my longest 2p2 post ever and not really about c/cing but i hope i cleared things up. Feel free to ask more questions or tell me im wrong.
Last edited by gadolparah; 08-01-2011 at 12:06 AM.