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Correct decision to shove QQ here? Correct decision to shove QQ here?

03-26-2017 , 08:30 AM
Hi all,

Another hand to look at

Cheers,

Genio

PokerStars - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 183 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 15.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
BB: 100 BB
Hero (UTG): 62 BB
UTG+1: 98 BB (VPIP: 15.79, PFR: 15.79, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 20)
MP: 149 BB (VPIP: 13.95, PFR: 4.65, 3Bet Preflop: 3.03, Hands: 86)
CO: 101 BB (VPIP: 11.40, PFR: 11.40, 3Bet Preflop: 2.33, Hands: 114)
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 18.75, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 3.13, Hands: 80)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q Q

Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, MP calls 3 BB, fold, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold

Flop: (10 BB, 3 players) 5 6 9
SB checks, Hero bets 5 BB, fold, SB raises to 24.5 BB, Hero raises to 59 BB and is all-in, SB calls 34.5 BB

Turn: (128 BB, 2 players) 2

River: (128 BB, 2 players) Q

Spoiler:
SB shows 6 6 (Three of a Kind, Sixes)
(Pre 19%, Flop 90%, Turn 95%)
Hero shows Q Q (Three of a Kind, Queens)
(Pre 81%, Flop 10%, Turn 5%)
Hero wins 123.5 BB
Correct decision to shove QQ here? Quote
03-26-2017 , 11:48 AM
Personally no. But depends how aggro villain is.

By raising you bet he's representing A9, straight 87, sets, 2 pair like 56, over pairs like TT-AA for value. Plus villains raise is huge.

You beat 16+6+6= 28 combos
You lose to 4+3+3*3+6+6= 28 combos

This is assuming he plays all A9, only suited 87, 56 this way which I don't think he is.

But what is he calling a shove to!!! Only the good stuff.

Call and proceed cautiously imho.
Correct decision to shove QQ here? Quote
03-26-2017 , 11:58 AM
Personally no. But depends how aggro villain is.

By raising you bet he's representing A9, straight 87, sets, 2 pair like 56, over pairs like TT-AA for value. Plus villains raise is huge.

You beat 16+6+6= 28 combos
You lose to 4+3+3*3+6+6= 28 combos

This is assuming he plays all A9, only suited 87, 56 this way which I don't think he is.

But what is he calling a shove to!!! Only the good stuff.

Call and proceed cautiously imho.
Correct decision to shove QQ here? Quote
03-27-2017 , 01:55 AM
nope really bad shove, overplay QQ vs an almost uknown with some fairly good stats from the player in SB, you most of the times gonna be facing 2pairs+ here.

+ he is oversizing the reraise if someone wants to bluff there i think he would risk less.
Correct decision to shove QQ here? Quote

      
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