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ATs facing aggression ATs facing aggression

11-28-2015 , 08:52 PM
my note says:

"felt like he wanted to raise PF and when he snap bet the turn im quite sure he wanted to x/r flop "

considering this gutfeeling i got pf how nitty is it to fold here ?
and would it be really bad to fold turn bet here when villian snap bets ?

    Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37177621

    Hero (BTN): $2.83 (141.5 bb)
    SB: $3.39 (169.5 bb)
    BB: $1.83 (91.5 bb)
    UTG+1: $1.65 (82.5 bb)
    UTG+2: $4.91 (245.5 bb)
    MP1: $1.10 (55 bb)
    MP2: $3.13 (156.5 bb)
    MP3: $2 (100 bb)
    CO: $2.34 (117 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BTN with A T
    2 folds, MP1 calls $0.02, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.08, SB folds, BB calls $0.06, MP1 calls $0.06

    Flop: ($0.25) K 7 2 (3 players)
    BB checks, MP1 checks, Hero checks

    Turn: ($0.25) A (3 players)
    BB bets $0.12, MP1 folds, Hero calls $0.12

    River: ($0.49) K (2 players)
    BB bets $0.47, Hero folds




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    ATs facing aggression Quote
    11-29-2015 , 06:17 PM
    Don't think we can ever fold turn. As played river is probably a sigh fold. Turn FD got there, K got there, we actually block most of the few hands we beat (QT and JT) and they just seem unlikely anyway. It's possible he's just bombing a random Ax hand but probably pretty unlikely.

    FWIW I think you can probably cbet this flop too. We have backdoor everything (which means we can barrel a lot of turns or just pick up equity in position) and it hits our range harder than anyone else's - I'd expect a cbet to win it a good % of the time here.
    ATs facing aggression Quote
    11-30-2015 , 09:32 AM
    I don't mind checking the flop - dead if checkraised and need runners for anything you want to take to showdown.

    I either raise or fold the turn I think, probably leaning towards a 2.5/3x raise. If he calls you he's probably not going to offer anything on the river, he might have been trying to buy the pot and could fold, and if he raises we know he has AT beat and don't have to worry about making a decision on the river.

    As played, I fold the river.
    ATs facing aggression Quote
    12-02-2015 , 04:23 PM
    I actually agree with the C-bet, usually multi-way at 2NL this is not needed, but here this flop is dry enough. I dont mind getting check raised as this will mean top pair/sets and will basically turn villains hand face-up, as played river is a fold.
    ATs facing aggression Quote
    12-02-2015 , 05:04 PM
    Literally the only drier flop than this is Q-7-2r. If it's HU I'd Cbet all day, but like Anyway said, barreling here multiway isn't a great proposition
    ATs facing aggression Quote
    12-03-2015 , 01:09 AM
    Barrel if you have reads, not a mandatory cbet at all imo. I'm actually running 40% cbet a lot of the time and I'm crushing 50NL.

    You are going to make most of your money when you hit your hand and value bet to the river against fish. Knowing when to bet and more specifically HOW MUCH to bet to build the pot to your liking is more than 75% of your profit at these stakes imo.

    There is also an argument that when an ace hits you will actually get money from the fish more so then when they simply fold their Ax on this flop. I believe this is true.

    As played, fold river and you can never fold turn.

    If you feel suspicious about a player, keep an eye on them and see if their standard is to size their rivers like this. But I give benefit of the doubt the first 2 times...more power to them if they bluff me off the best hand, but I will get them back later.

    Last edited by p0ker_n00b; 12-03-2015 at 01:27 AM.
    ATs facing aggression Quote

          
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