Hi guys!
So this is the hand in question:
PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 104 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)
SB: 117.5 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 6.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
BB: 361 BB (VPIP: 14.91, PFR: 9.65, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 118)
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 18.33, PFR: 15.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 60)
UTG+1: 92 BB (VPIP: 10.71, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 9.52, Hands: 56)
Hero (MP): 309.5 BB
MP+1: 92.5 BB (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
MP+2: 191 BB (VPIP: 16.44, PFR: 8.22, 3Bet Preflop: 3.33, Hands: 74)
CO: 90.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J
Q
fold,
fold,
Hero raises to 3 BB,
fold,
MP+2 calls 3 BB,
fold,
fold,
fold,
fold
Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) Q
2
J
Hero bets 6.5 BB,
MP+2 raises to 15 BB,
Hero raises to 46 BB,
MP+2 raises to 85 BB,
Hero raises to 306.5 BB and is all-in,
MP+2 calls 103 BB and is all-in
Turn: (383.5 BB, 2 players) 5
River: (383.5 BB, 2 players) T
The main question is whether Hero should shove in the face of the aggression and given the relatively deep stack sizes.
One thing is for certain: this hand should have been folded preflop. This was actually a mis-click. It's awesome to use hot-keys but sometimes **** happens
My thought process on the flop was:
- Bet for value from one-pair hands and straight draws. The bet size is more on the large side because I don't know a lot about this player and fish will call any amount so might as well inflate.
- When the bet gets raised to 15BB, the raise amount is a little over min-bet and so although it is possible that we are facing a legit hand it could also be a probe raise with air from someone who didn't quite believe the c-bet. It could also represent a semi-bluff with a straight draw although with a pretty bad raise amount (but hey, it's the micros). If we are facing a legit hand, the most likely hand is a set of deuces given that we already hold a Q and a J. There is only one combination of JJ and QQ and these might have 3-bet pre but not necessarily. Villain could have QJ as well but also not a lot of combos of these left. Lastly, some villains at this level may go broke with TPTK so I didn't exclude this possibility.
- I decided to re-raise hoping to get paid by TPTK and stubborn draws. Calling was also a possibility given the pot odds but I figured that I'd have a tough decision on the turn and I'd be out of position. If I called and checked the turn (assuming turn isn't Q or J) then I could face a bet and still not be entirely sure what to do. If the turn bricks and I bet the turn and got raised, another hard decision. If the turn comes a danger card like a T, A, K I would probably be in check/fold mode. These are the reasons why I preferred raising.
- Villain min re-reraises again and this is where I am unsure about the correct play. Folding is a possibility if I truly put him on 22 or the unlikely JJ/QQ. I don't put Villain on KK/AA because these would 3-bet pre almost 100% of the time. Calling will most likely mean facing a shove on the turn. Shoving will only get value from fish but against better players will only get called by better.
The range I put Villain on is JJ-QQ,22,QJ,AQ which would make me a 55% favourite. However, if I exclude AQ from their range (which is their weakest holding) I am a 29% underdog.
It would be great to have your thoughts about how Hero played this.
Last edited by AntonioQuina; 01-30-2017 at 04:40 PM.