From my experience in 2NL, not many players will bluff 3 streets.. Villain almost always has top pair here and possibly an over pair or QQ (since 3bet pre)
Well, yes he seems fairly aggressive from this small sample and that's an argument in favour of bluff catching. What I meant was that his line seems perfectly consistent with value hands too.
Well, yes he seems fairly aggressive from this small sample and that's an argument in favour of bluff catching. What I meant was that his line seems perfectly consistent with value hands too.
If his stats were 80/80/90 that would still be true, yet I'd be calling him down with pretty much anything.
To me his actual stats felt like he'd be bluffing way too much here.
But obviously I could be wrong.
As an exercise work out what hands you would call 3 bet with, call the flop, turn and river bet with and what % hands of previous street each time you're calling with. This should tell you if you're calling too much.
If you think villain would always check the river with a king then I'd get behind a bluff catch, preferably when you have a heart in your hand though. The river is a scare card and should warrant a lot of checking from villain but weak players are sometimes too scared to check with weak value. You could be owned by an overplayed KJ etc.