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25NL Zoom - AJ gets bombed in to on a good run out 25NL Zoom - AJ gets bombed in to on a good run out

07-26-2015 , 12:07 AM
Villain is 20/11 and not full stacked plus from stats seems to basically have no awareness of position. Hes wider than most in EP and whilst Im not in love with flatting AJs here there is a fish to act behind me playing 43/35.

Flop: Villain has 100% cbet. Its not something I usually do, but I figured that floating vs that high of a cbet on this board with backdoors is ok.

Turn: Villains aggression stats are 29%/59%/50%. Given I hit my ace I feel obliged to call. Think all AK/AQ/TT/66 is in his range though and then some broadways/maybe a hand like 99-77 as bluffs.

River: Its not a very good bluffing card. Hes bet pot (HH converter doesnt seem to account for rake taken out during the hand). Feels like a situation where hes basically assuming I have the ace (or something stubborn like JJ/QQ) and trying to get max value in the hope Im never folding but always calling. His WWSF is 65% but so is his W$SD (admittedly only 17 sample for WSD though).


    Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

    BTN: $25.67 (102.7 bb)
    SB: $21.55 (86.2 bb)
    BB: $27.11 (108.4 bb)
    UTG+1: $24.05 (96.2 bb)
    UTG+2: $23.94 (95.8 bb)
    MP1: $12.59 (50.4 bb)
    Hero (MP2): $32.01 (128 bb)
    MP3: $26.97 (107.9 bb)
    CO: $86.20 (344.8 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is MP2 with J A
    UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to $0.75, MP1 folds, Hero calls $0.75, 5 folds

    Flop: ($1.85) T 6 3 (2 players)
    UTG+2 bets $1, Hero calls $1

    Turn: ($3.85) A (2 players)
    UTG+2 bets $2.76, Hero calls $2.76

    River: ($9.37) A (2 players)
    UTG+2 bets $8.95, Hero folds

    25NL Zoom - AJ gets bombed in to on a good run out Quote
    07-26-2015 , 03:34 AM
    Sample?? Tough spot. I feel like you're overestimating V's range but could be wrong
    25NL Zoom - AJ gets bombed in to on a good run out Quote
    07-26-2015 , 07:03 AM
    floating flop is fine here with ace high, two overs and backdoors, especially given the small cbet size and your reads.

    river his bet sizing doesn't really make sense for him to play any part of his range with from a balance perspective. but these big river bets tend to be quite heavily value oriented at these stakes. if you listen to a coach on RIO he says "a lot of microstakes players telegraph the strength of their hand with their bet-sizing". i think this is a good example.

    just type "lol ty" in the chatbox and then fold.
    25NL Zoom - AJ gets bombed in to on a good run out Quote
    07-26-2015 , 09:57 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Tilty_McDonkawhirl
    Sample?? Tough spot. I feel like you're overestimating V's range but could be wrong
    800 hands or so.
    25NL Zoom - AJ gets bombed in to on a good run out Quote
    07-26-2015 , 09:00 PM
    As far as the bet sizing is concerned "big for big,small for small" doesnt always apply,as snap betting pot on the river is one of the biggest online tells for bluffing vs many players in the micros imo(they prolly think "i represent a huge hand and so i act like i got a quick and easy decision,pot for max value").

    That being said,his value range here is pretty narrow,AK/AQ obv(but then again you got one Ace in your hand and 2 are on the board),TT,and we really cant know for sure if he even plays 33/66 from UTG(and if he does how often).

    On the other hand,for unknown reasons, players(especially aggroturds)will spazz out in this kind of spot with hands like 99,88,77,KQs etc so i guess its a judgement call,but i think that AT BEST 5 out of 10 times youll be shown a better hand and the other 5 times it'll be a ******ed trip barrel with a medium pair or a random tilt bluff,and you need 33% given the pot sized bet so i think usually this needs be a call,especially given all the info you got(villain is fishy,no positional awareness,aggro,cbet 100%,not full stacked etc)..
    25NL Zoom - AJ gets bombed in to on a good run out Quote
    07-27-2015 , 12:55 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by DavidS
    just type "lol ty" in the chatbox and then fold.
    please don't do this

    I agree that he probably wants you to have trups here but I'm still calling
    25NL Zoom - AJ gets bombed in to on a good run out Quote
    07-29-2015 , 05:02 PM
    Better off having KT here lol
    25NL Zoom - AJ gets bombed in to on a good run out Quote
    07-31-2015 , 02:46 PM
    I don't like the preflop call, sure he has a wide range, but when you hit and are ahead you wont really get a ton of value from worse.
    Postflop is played perfectly imo, especially the river. What can you beat that he 3barrels on this board? It's basically only KQdd and QJdd (if he turns it into a bluff). An Ax hand doesn't makes sense to bet for value OTT, but he seems pretty bad so him having AT, AQ or AK is definitely a possibility. Other than that I only think he does this with full houses, so yeah, really good fold OTR.
    25NL Zoom - AJ gets bombed in to on a good run out Quote

          
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