Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 92.68 BB (VPIP: 13.04, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 46)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 17.92, PFR: 8.02, 3Bet Preflop: 2.47, Hands: 214)
UTG: 89.52 BB (VPIP: 70.37, PFR: 3.70, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 27)
UTG+1: 120.32 BB (VPIP: 27.78, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
MP: 60.68 BB (VPIP: 6.76, PFR: 6.12, 3Bet Preflop: 2.17, Hands: 148)
MP+1: 39 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
MP+2: 186.32 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 8.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
CO: 73.92 BB (VPIP: 66.28, PFR: 8.24, 3Bet Preflop: 3.23, Hands: 86)
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 5
5
UTG calls 1 BB,
fold,
fold, MP+1 calls 1 BB,
fold, CO calls 1 BB,
Hero calls 1 BB, SB calls 0.6 BB, BB checks
Flop: (6 BB, 6 players) 9
5
8
SB bets 4.48 BB,
fold, UTG calls 4.48 BB, MP+1 calls 4.48 BB, CO calls 4.48 BB,
Hero calls 4.48 BB
Turn: (28.4 BB, 5 players) 2
SB checks, UTG checks, MP+1 checks,
CO bets 28.4 BB,
Hero?
CO has AF of 0.8
So maybe I shoulda raised this one off since it's so ridiculously drawy. It's just that there's SOO many people and it's a limped pot, so someone could have the nuts, or I could raise (get 4 callers since they're basically all stations) and have a hideous turn that puts me in an even worse spot. I was pretty much peeling the flop to try and boat up and stack someone. It just seems like 76 could be out there.
But wouldn't CO raise the flop with 76 since it's a two suited board with larger straight possibilities? Or is he just so fishy and horrible that he thinks it's an ok flop to slow play with basically a family pot? Really not sure what he has since he sees two thirds of all flops. Very highly doubt he has a draw (with an AF of 0.8 and it's a big multiway and he potted it), and I don't think he's spazzing out with an over pair. My guess is that he has 2 pr (though we have blockers to all combos except 98), a set, or a straight. Against a range of 98, 95, 85, 99, 88, 76 I have 49.46% equity. But if we take out the 95/85 2 pr combos with, we have just 28.9. Maybe this is due to my inexperience but I have a hard time coming up with what to do here.
Opinions, thoughts, comments, criticisms?