Merge - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4



MP: 137.32 BB
MP+1: 50.56 BB
MP+2: 70.52 BB
CO: 202.08 BB (VPIP: 30.61, PFR: 12.24, AF: 1.4, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 98)
Hero (BTN): 118.4 BB
SB: 100 BB
BB: 139.2 BB
UTG: 100.76 BB
UTG+1: 215.2 BB

Haven't really noticed CO for the most part. He's been pretty quiet and winning a few hands with no SD. Plays pretty passive preflop, Flop AF is 1.20 and Turn AF is 2.00.

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A A

fold, UTG+1 calls 1 BB, fold, fold, fold, CO calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 6 BB, fold, fold, fold, CO calls 5 BB

Flop: (14.4 BB, 2 players) 2 T 5
CO checks, Hero bets 7.2 BB, CO calls 7.2 BB

Turn: (28.8 BB, 2 players) K
CO checks, Hero bets 14.4 BB, CO raises to 188.88 BB and is all-in, Hero?

Line (bet sizing) check / turn decision and reason?

I'd have a hard time folding this but not stoked either

Either way I'm betting 2/3pot or more on both flop and turn to start with (I Always do this HU on a wet board, wet = flush or straightdraw for me)

what do you think his range is for doing this?

Bet more flop & turn and fold to the c/r.

From what I've seen, his range contains few - no bluffs. There aren't a ton of hands that make 2 pair otf, so I think he could very well have a set, since even though his PFR is 10, I don't think he's raising small pairs. He also might've hit gin on that turn card and have KT.

So sticking with the assumption that his range contains few to no bluffs, against QcJc, K*T*, 2*2*, 5*5*, K*J*, K*Q*, A*K* I have 63% equity, so it's definitely a call if that's right.

But my gut told me to go with the beluga theorem. His range really feels like KT, 22, 55 (I'm going to discount TT, but I could very well see him l/c with that), and against that range I've got 13% equity.

Really my only concern for folding is that maybe he's just really over valuing KJ+. But I don't see him peeling the flop with any non club combo of KJ+.

Please tailor the size of your bet to 1) the player your playing against and 2) the texture of the board. You should be potting this flop and betting more than 3/4 on this turn.

AF of 1.4, I fold.

Only since you said please

As others above said, bigger on every street. Folding turn vs a low aggression factor. Not sure I do it in game though.