Originally Posted by MartL
People dont often fire three streets with hands that cant beat TP and i think a lot of people at this level will even check AJ here.
Don't forget about villain's post-flop aggression stats. Not an expert, but they seem kinda high to me.
Given that, I think his range remains wide enough that the stuff we lose to (AA, 88, AQ, maybe 99) is less than 50% of the possible combinations.
OTR we only need to be ahead about 28% of the time to make that call profitable, correct?
5.35:1.8 = 1.8/(7.15) ~= 2/7 ~= 28%. (25.2% to be more accurate)