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Stats and Graphs Analysis Thread Stats and Graphs Analysis Thread

02-21-2010 , 06:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Unimog
I did try something new 10k hand LAG project jeah small sample...



is it bad to play so agro on BB?
i still do lot of stupid stuff like shoving agenst nuts
Stats look pretty good.

Your loss rate on the BB is a bit high. I see a comparable win rate for a lot of players playing maybe 10/5 or 11/7 in the BB, so it would appear that you are causing yourself a lot of drama and variance to achieve the same results as people who play very nitty from the BB.
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02-21-2010 , 11:36 PM
Hi mpethybridge I am interested in you leak finder and database review services. When are you free?

Thanks, Eric
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02-22-2010 , 04:01 AM
This is February and most of it is at rush. WTF is going on here? My usual stats look nothing like this. Do I just chalk it up as variance? I know 36k hands isn't a huge sample, but still.

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02-22-2010 , 04:06 AM
Here are my last 150k hands before February. I've definitely nitted up a bit to adjust to rush poker, but apparently I'm not winning from the CO and HJ anymore.

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02-22-2010 , 06:09 AM
is there a stat in HEM to see how often some who has position on you calls your flop bet then bets on the turn after you check the turn? Or any way to combine stats to give me an idea of how often this happens?
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02-22-2010 , 10:44 AM
luka, it's probably variance.

da bomb, quick look through the HUD stats suggests the answers are no and no. The closest you could get would be to display call flop c-bet next to bet turn. This might do an ok job of getting at call/bluffs, but it might lead you astray some, too, because call/bluffs will only be a subset of his turn bets.
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02-22-2010 , 10:49 AM
Eric, this thread is not the correct place for your question.

Try this forum.
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02-24-2010 , 10:44 AM
Hello!
I've been running pretty crazy over last few weeks. Would like to hear some comments about my stats about this month:





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02-24-2010 , 05:40 PM
xyz

I don't see any major problems in your overall stats. Your W$SD is a bit low. Your fold to flop c-bet is a bit high.

W$SD: you may be calling down second best too much. Go to filters and filter for river call = true. You'll get the most benefit from looking through the individual losses to see if you can detect a pattern in your river calls that lose. There are a lot of tendencies people have here, and there is no way to tell just from your stat which one you might have. Look for one or more of the following patterns:

1. I can't fold my monster that got outdrawn, counterfeited, whatever. For example, you raised in EP with AQs. The flop comes AQ9. You bet flop, turn is a J, you bet, river is a T or a K, you check, the caller bets 2/3 and you call.

2. I can't fold to a river raise. You have AA, bet flop and turn and get called, you bet river, villain raises you.

3. But I haz teh flush: and the villain bets/raises/shoves a river that pairs the board.

You will wnt to look to see if you see any of these showing up more than once. If they all show up once or twice, that is a tendency in and of itself.

Fold to flop c-bet. You are missing profitable opportunities to float. Look for villains (like you) who have super high flop c-bet stats and low turn c-bet stats. You can float against these guys and reliably win with a turn bet when they check to you.

Overall, though, nice stats.
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02-24-2010 , 08:17 PM
My run at 5NL so far. Any comments are appreciated.



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02-24-2010 , 11:44 PM
Hello,
Been just barely beating 25NL, but been on a really rough down swing so I just wanted someone to take a look at my stats and see where I can change some things.


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02-25-2010 , 12:27 PM
Sorry I forgot to post the 3rd picture and it wont let me edit my post for some reason.
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02-26-2010 , 02:28 PM
Okay some stats from 5NL so far.
Would be nice if you could take a quick look





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02-26-2010 , 02:46 PM
Hi, hoping someone could help with my problem. Basically, I've always been fine in 3bet pots but recently I've started losing ALOT after 3betting pre. Here is lifetime graph filtered to where I 3bet pre.



AFAIK I'm playing exactly the same as I've always done, I've just started losing recently.

Here are my stats up until this week, and my stats since I started losing.



Can anyone spot anything obvious? Thanks
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02-26-2010 , 02:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by IFlatTheNuts
Hi, hoping someone could help with my problem. Basically, I've always been fine in 3bet pots but recently I've started losing ALOT after 3betting pre. Here is lifetime graph filtered to where I 3bet pre.



AFAIK I'm playing exactly the same as I've always done, I've just started losing recently.

Here are my stats up until this week, and my stats since I started losing.



Can anyone spot anything obvious? Thanks
One thing I did when I went on a losing streak last month was to make two spreadsheets. One with my winning streak and one with my losing streak. Then on a third spreadsheet, I divided one by the other and looked for places where the ratio was far from 1. For me, I found that for some reason, I had been playing a lot more passive during the downswing. I wasn't being as aggressive. Taking the ratios made it easy to see things because all you have to do is try and find places where you aren't near 1.

Perhaps if you try that, you'll see some stuff.

Also, I don't see how you can possibly draw conclusions from a 20 hand sample size
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02-26-2010 , 03:01 PM
IFTN:

Maybe post some hands? Another thing, it could be sample size, if people are consistently outflopping you in 3b pots. Are you taking the same approach to 3-betting? In the first sample it looks like you c-bet with a fair and reasonable frequency but in sample 2 it looks like you c-bet damned near every time.
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02-26-2010 , 05:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by QuietRiot
Hello,
Been just barely beating 25NL, but been on a really rough down swing so I just wanted someone to take a look at my stats and see where I can change some things.


A. You're taking a medium size beating in the blinds. Your stats look reasonable, so it looks like the problem is with your post flop play OOP. Take a look specifically at your cold calls from the blinds. If you are losing with any of the following hands, you have some substantial post flop leaks: AQs, AQo, AJs, KQo, KQs, JJ, TT, 99. The more of these hands that are negative when you call, the bigger the leak.

Also, take a look at the remainder of your cold calling range to try to figure out what range of hands you are calling with and losing more than if you had just folded. A lot of people are leaking this way by calling with anything from suited connectors to ragged suited aces. Just look in your db for the hands that you are losing with.

The problem is probably that you are playing these hands passively, and taking lines like xc, xc, xf, or xc, xc, xc and losing pretty big pots.

B. Your win rate in the cut off looks super low, and is seriously cutting into your win rate. There are four possible explanations for this other than variance, and you will need to check them all to make sure you do not have a position specific leak:

1. Calling 3 bets--There are two things to look at here. First, are you losing $$ calling 3 bets? If so, this is a leak. Second, are you calling when it is the button that 3 bets you? If so, this is a leak.

2. steals that get called. You are looking to make sure you have a positive win rate when your steal gets called.

3. steals that get called by the button. Also, you may wish to check to see what your win rate is when the button calls you. If it is negative, then you need to table select differently, or tighten up your stealing when you have a button to your left who is exploiting you.

4. iso plays. You should have a significantly positive win rate. If not, this is a leak.
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02-27-2010 , 04:54 PM
Hello everyone, this is my first post in 2p2, i apologise for my poor english in advance. so, i'm kinda new at poker, i'm playing live poker about half a year, and internet poker just few months. i read all the stickies and FAQ's in micro stakes section. i've read about 10 books about poker and i'm doing quite well in live poker, but unlhe is frustrating for me, it seems im doing anything right... so im posting my stats and graphs. sorry for just a tiny sample, but i need some advice now, because im confused about my game.

http://img35.imageshack.us/i/detailsw.jpg/
http://img521.imageshack.us/i/graphh.jpg/
http://img687.imageshack.us/i/pos.jpg/

thx in advance
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02-28-2010 , 04:17 AM
I'm having a hard time interpereting this but I'm +12 BI EV but still -on my SD winnings. am I just a donk and going to be taking it very rough when my rungoot is done unless i smarten up or is it that since I'm rather aggro I'm just put in these situations where it's 30c more to calls the AI in a 5$ pot so how can I fold...




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02-28-2010 , 05:36 PM
Any advice on my stats will be greatly appreciated.



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02-28-2010 , 09:20 PM
Can anybody provide a ballpark on what is considered an acceptable loss rate in the SB? How do you know if you're losing more money than you should in the SB?
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02-28-2010 , 11:14 PM
Can anyone help me with my blind play? seems I am getting owned pretty bad from both? Should I be playing more hands ? My redline seems decent since I have been working on being more aggressive, stealing more pots post and pre, value betting thinner etc, but mostly in position.

playing ~ 14/12 , 5% 3bet

Any help is much appreciated.
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03-01-2010 , 11:57 AM
Hi,

I would value any comments, observations, help on my first 10k .5/.10 stats. I am winning at this level and tried to move up to .10/.25 where I got killed, only have 9K stats at that level, will post them later for you to compare, but what leaks/improvements can you see for .5/.10 level.

Thanks

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03-01-2010 , 02:42 PM
Anyadvice on where my leaks are would be much appreciated thanks



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