Quote:
Originally Posted by Yori96
He's aggro 38/4/8
He may be aggro post-flop but those numbers indicate that he's actually quite passive pre-flop. He's getting into a lot of pots but is only raising a very narrow range (4%). If that value is accurate then that translates to a range of 99+, AQs+, AQo. Your hand has 33% equity versus that range so getting it in is -EV.
Of course this assumes that the 4% figure is accurate and unless you have at least 500 hands on the villain it almost certainly isn't. At best over small samples it's an indicator that they're not raising trash. If we were to double villain's opening range to 8% (88+, AJ+, KQ+) your hand is still a 47% underdog though.
I don't think calling is ideal here either. You're going to miss most flops and have to fold to the inevitable c-bet from an aggro post-flop villain. Then any flops you do hit you could still be dominated (by the likes of AK on an A-high flop or KK on a Q-high flop for example). It might seem quite nitty but I think the best play here is to fold and move on.