Quote:
Originally Posted by ZKesic
Raise for value, 99% he has an overpair or lower FD here.
You're completely discounting 2-pair and sets from his donk range?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gabe16
The break even on the call is 2.56/1 28%. So calling is very close to 0 EV without any additions of implied odds when you hit or checks when you miss. I'd have to assume I have decent implied odds and he'll do some checking on turns.
Scare turn cards for a lot of his range that don't hit you are K,Q,10 possibly even 9 or 6. So calling works well without bloating the pot while in position leaving all options open on the turn.
Good point
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gabe16
I'm not sure how it's possible to get it all in given the stacks without being up against a very strong range. Once you 2bet, he 3bets and you shove it's hard to be up against anything less than two pair. But likely sets/straights.
A raise isn't bad though. You utilise any fold equity, make future scare cards scarier and I think disguise your flush draw better so improving your implied odds when you hits And I have you a at 56% vs his likely 2bet calling range.
I think how the hand played out may have been in my mind when I was writing that description:
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: $12.43 (VPIP: 10.71, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
SB: $9.65 (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
BB: $11.67 (VPIP: 10.20, PFR: 10.20, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 50)
UTG: $13.52 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: 100.00, Hands: 2)
Hero (UTG+1): $10.15
MP: $10.00 (VPIP: 57.14, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 7)
MP+1: $20.26 (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 7.81, 3Bet Preflop: 3.03, Hands: 64)
MP+2: $11.92 (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 6.25, 3Bet Preflop: 2.13, Hands: 99)
CO: $12.77 (VPIP: 7.14, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has J
A
fold,
Hero raises to $0.35,
fold,
fold,
fold,
fold,
fold,
SB calls $0.30,
fold
Flop: ($0.80, 2 players) 4
2
3
SB bets $0.51,
Hero raises to $1.75,
SB raises to $9.30 and is all-in,
Hero ??
So I guess what I was getting at is - is the flop 2bet optimal when it opens up the possibility of me getting 3bet and probably having to fold my equity or get it in bad?