Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > No Limit Hold'em > Micro Stakes PL/NL

Notices

Micro Stakes PL/NL Discussions regarding micro stakes pot and no-limit hold'em (25c-50c and below)

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 06-27-2012, 09:02 PM   #1
stranger
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 1
Whats wrong with my thinking

Hey guys, I'm new and looking for some help.

In this hand villain is basically unknown, running 28/17 over 19 hands

Anyway my thinking when he c/r me was initially that I doubt he has a set because if he did he would more likely just c/c since it would be pretty easy to stack me since I was short to start the hand. I thought he might have like 99 or 910s and was semi bluffing with a draw. I also thought he could have KQ or AQ.

Is my evaluation of his range bad? Considering what I think he might have is a shove bad? Looking back I feel like maybe I should just call but I'm really not sure

Thanks in advance

    Cake Poker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #13355152

    MP: $12.30 (123 bb)
    CO: $8.75 (87.5 bb)
    Hero (BTN): $5.29 (52.9 bb)
    SB: $9.62 (96.2 bb)
    BB: $10 (100 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BTN with A K
    2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, SB folds, BB calls $0.20

    Flop: ($0.65) J 8 T (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $0.30, BB raises to $1, Hero raises to $4.99 and is all-in, BB calls $3.99

    Turn: ($10.63) 8 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
    River: ($10.63) 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

    Spoiler:



    Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.
    OoDeBaby is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 06-27-2012, 09:17 PM   #2
    CCM
    Pooh-Bah
     
    Join Date: Feb 2009
    Posts: 4,465
    Re: Whats wrong with my thinking

    Sets c/r that board always because lots of turn cards kill their action or put them behind.

    If he is semibluffing with 99/9T he is still beating you and won't fold to your in.

    He may have AQ/KQ but he also may 3 bet preflop.

    I think your play is losing somewhat in the long run.
    CCM is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 06-27-2012, 09:43 PM   #3
    centurion
     
    Join Date: Jan 2012
    Posts: 128
    Re: Whats wrong with my thinking

    I like that your raising your draws, especially with 2 overs. Long term against an unknown i'm folding to the 3bet. At the very least i'm calling and reevaluating on the turn.
    Brickhead816 is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 06-27-2012, 10:32 PM   #4
    veteran
     
    Join Date: Apr 2009
    Posts: 2,182
    Re: Whats wrong with my thinking

    Fold flop, even the draws are ahead of you except for AQ/KQ. Run some simulations on this board against a range of sets/2pair/draws and you'll see you're in terrible shape.
    thepaul1 is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 06-27-2012, 10:35 PM   #5
    grinder
     
    Join Date: Jun 2009
    Posts: 694
    Re: Whats wrong with my thinking

    Yep get away with the 30c here, he's almost never raising you on this board without some sort of pair+drawish hand or better and will stack off with whatever hand he's raising you with.
    Archide is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 06-27-2012, 11:40 PM   #6
    ved
    old hand
     
    ved's Avatar
     
    Join Date: Sep 2008
    Location: **** knows
    Posts: 1,766
    Re: Whats wrong with my thinking

    and buy in full
    ved is online now   Reply With Quote
    Old 06-28-2012, 02:10 AM   #7
    centurion
     
    dgking111's Avatar
     
    Join Date: Nov 2011
    Location: vancouver bc canada
    Posts: 163
    Re: Whats wrong with my thinking

    i dont even like cbetting this board, they arent folding much of anything on this flop
    dgking111 is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 06-28-2012, 02:16 AM   #8
    grinder
     
    Mhnds's Avatar
     
    Join Date: Aug 2011
    Location: Istanbul
    Posts: 540
    Re: Whats wrong with my thinking

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by dgking111 View Post
    i dont even like cbetting this board, they arent folding much of anything on this flop
    +1
    I check back.
    Mhnds is offline   Reply With Quote

    Reply
          

    Thread Tools
    Display Modes

    Posting Rules
    You may not post new threads
    You may not post replies
    You may not post attachments
    You may not edit your posts

    BB code is On
    Smilies are On
    [IMG] code is On
    HTML code is Off
    Trackbacks are Off
    Pingbacks are Off
    Refbacks are Off



    All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:11 AM.


    Powered by vBulletin®
    Copyright ©2000 - 2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
    Content Relevant URLs by vBSEO 3.6.0 ©2011, Crawlability, Inc.
    Copyright © 2008-2010, Two Plus Two Interactive