Quote:
Originally Posted by RBlagojevich
spraggy - he's repping a narrow range and the river bet looks super polarized so i can see the temptation to snap it off for sure. But the thing that worries me is the turn donk, which looks like straight up value imo -- i don't ever see people check-calling the flop and the donking the turn big unless they have a very big hand and don't want to let the turn check around and miss a street of value...
Pretty much the only time i'd be taking this line as a bluff if I'm in villain's position is when i'm holding 78s, and there are even fewer (non-club) combos of that in his range than value hands...
I have seen a lot turn donks be for "protecting" their hand. On the turn donk I would add A-9, and J-(9<->K) to his range. The river I would drop the A9 from his range. Same boat as FD, I would also be hard pressed to fold the river, I would close my eyes and call.
This hand that happened today is similar except he donked/called the flop.
MP: $32.07
CO: $26.60
Hero (BTN): $42.11
SB: $26.71
BB: $24.75
UTG: $24.65
SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25
Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has K
J
fold,
fold,
fold,
Hero raises to $0.75,
SB calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50
Flop: ($2.25, 3 players) J
5
8
SB bets $0.75,
fold,
Hero raises to $3.00,
SB calls $2.25
Turn: ($8.25, 2 players) 4
SB bets $4.25,
Hero raises to $38.36 and is all-in,
SB calls $18.71 and is all-in
River: ($54.17, 2 players) 6
Hero shows K
J
(One Pair, Jacks) (PreFlop 73%, Flop 82%, Turn 93%)
SB shows J
9
(One Pair, Jacks) (PreFlop 27%, Flop 18%, Turn 7%)
Hero wins $51.47