Villain seems a bit aggro-monkey-ish like over small sample. 46/35, 18% 3bet over 30 hands, Cbet 2/3, AF 1 (but mostly b/c never folds to cbets when preflop caller).
When he checks the flop, I took his Kx hands out of his range on the basis that they would c-bet the flop. I also thought that a pair (99+) would also usually cbet - either he wouldn't think about my range and auto-cbet or he would think about my range and realize I have few Kx hands here. So my line on turn was to check again and induce a stab with his entire range, which I should be ahead of. He complies, and on the river, my thought was to c/c to keep his range wide. OK?
I think sample size is too small and I'd just fold preflop.
I wouldn't try to guess villain's thought process, especially since he's shorter stacked so possibly not a reg and there's a high uncertainty over his overall outlook (i.e, he's more likely than average to be a maniac, but probably still less than 50%).
Tried out omaha lately before I got into 6max Holdem once again to try beat the micros. So maybe i´m just hurt by this "second nuts is going to cost you alot of money in PLO" but this is a pot with almost 200bb eff stack.
Preflop: Hero is BTN with A 3
2 folds, CO calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.25, SB calls $1.15, BB folds, CO calls $1
Flop: ($4) 2 4 5 (3 players)
SB checks, CO bets $0.75, Hero raises to $2.25, SB calls $2.25, CO calls $1.50
Turn: ($10.75) 8 (3 players)
SB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $8, SB folds, CO raises to $34.27, Hero raises to $39.20 and is all-in, CO calls $4.93
River: ($89.15) 5 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Spoiler:
Results: $89.15 pot ($2 rake)
Final Board: 2 4 5 8 5
SB mucked and lost (-$3.50 net)
CO showed 6 7 and won $87.15 ($44.45 net)
Hero showed A 3 and lost (-$42.70 net)
I couldn´t done anything else? I just though when he raised that big, but this is just a cooler, right?
Sry for being so dumb cause I just have gotten this thinking about 2nd and 3rd nuts not being good from omaha..:P
Is this line fine or are river minbet too thin(that street I is most unsure of)?
I'd say that's too thin yeah unless villain really is a huge whale who will call with A5 or smth, villains range OTF & OTT. has to be weighted towards FD's & 9x
I'd go even smaller if I did think there was value there.
Not folding a flush 100bb deep on a non-paired board like ever. Could be a worse flush (though not many of those left in the deck, just 86s, 89s, dunno if a reg plays 23s and the likes), could be a badly played set or AJ with the ace of spades.
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
SB ($68.75)
BB ($42.97)
UTG ($49.78)
CO ($87.80)
Hero ($53.59)
Dealt to Hero 3 3
fold, CO raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, fold, BB calls $1
FLOP ($4.75) 3 6 7
BB checks, CO bets $2.50, Hero raises to $8, BB raises to $19.50, CO raises to $86.30 (AI), Hero folds
vs 2 decent regs.
I thought this was a easy fold with btm set.
Middel set im not sure about but prob also a fold.
With this much action some1 has 45s or a set allot imo, do you agree ?
KJo is okay from MP (or UTG+1).
As played, readless, I'd still call, because he might be a fish raising any TP or FD.
So on the turn pot will be ~16 and we both have ~17 behind - what is the plan for the rest of the hand? To ch call all non heart turn and rivers and fold hearts?
Also, let's say he's not a fish - what is the bottom of a typical regs range here for raising my large cbet 4ways? Can I assume that if I know I'm up against a non lagfish I can safely lay this down at NL25 zoom becuase his range crushes my hand?
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