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Shove over River Raise w Nut Flush or Just Call? Shove over River Raise w Nut Flush or Just Call?

06-24-2017 , 05:11 PM
Villain was pretty loose and passive. Never 3betting and cold calling 2bets about 32% of the time. So when he raises me on the River on a paired board....that's a big red flag right?

Still, after the fact I plugged in a conservative 20% calling range with Flopzilla and I still have 95% equity in this hand.

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 113 BB (VPIP: 23.30, PFR: 16.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 104)
BB: 90.4 BB (VPIP: 31.82, PFR: 6.82, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 46)
UTG: 109.8 BB (VPIP: 17.14, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 108)
MP: 165 BB (VPIP: 21.31, PFR: 21.31, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 61)
Hero (CO): 332.8 BB
BTN: 99.2 BB (VPIP: 19.15, PFR: 19.15, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 48)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A 8

fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.6 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 1.6 BB

Flop: (5.6 BB, 2 players) Q 4 9
BB checks, Hero bets 3.4 BB, BB calls 3.4 BB

Turn: (12.4 BB, 2 players) 2
BB checks, Hero bets 5.8 BB, BB calls 5.8 BB

River: (24 BB, 2 players) 4
BB checks, Hero bets 15.8 BB, BB raises to 60 BB, [color=red]Hero?
Shove over River Raise w Nut Flush or Just Call? Quote
06-24-2017 , 08:47 PM
He's only got like another 15BB behind, and we're never folding, so may as well get the rest in here. He sounds bad enough to show up with a worse flush or even a naked 4 some percentage of the time.

That said, I think your turn bet sizing is a huge mistake and should be much closer to pot. 10BB at least.
Shove over River Raise w Nut Flush or Just Call? Quote
06-24-2017 , 09:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SleuthOfBears
That said, I think your turn bet sizing is a huge mistake and should be much closer to pot. 10BB at least.
Yes I think this is a substantial leak of mine. I often bet small in these situations to induce a call, but I could probably get away with a much bigger bet here. Thanks
Shove over River Raise w Nut Flush or Just Call? Quote
06-25-2017 , 09:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SleuthOfBears
He's only got like another 15BB behind, and we're never folding, so may as well get the rest in here.
lol what? How does second part logically follow from the first?
More OTT, call river.
Shove over River Raise w Nut Flush or Just Call? Quote
06-25-2017 , 10:54 AM
bet bigger turn, and then you are just calling a shove on the river.
Shove over River Raise w Nut Flush or Just Call? Quote
06-25-2017 , 01:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrno1324
Quote:
Originally Posted by SleuthOfBears
He's only got like another 15BB behind, and we're never folding, so may as well get the rest in here.
lol what? How does second part logically follow from the first?
More OTT, call river.
I mean, if you want to selectively quote the first sentence and not the second from my post

I give my reasoning for why I think we should shove immediately after this
Shove over River Raise w Nut Flush or Just Call? Quote

      
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