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Old 09-04-2012, 05:01 AM   #1
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SB VS BB SHOWDOWN***

Villian is VP 26 / PR 26 / AF 1 over 19 hands

Is it WP ? Or should i call all the way instead of raising on flop ? Long term i will be losing money if i continue raising on flop to chase cards?


PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: $26.36
CO: $25.80
BTN: $37.50
SB: $32.77
Hero (BB): $26.39

SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has 8 9

fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.50, 2 players) 7 T 2
SB bets $1.00, Hero raises to $3.50, SB calls $2.50

Turn: ($8.50, 2 players) T
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($8.50, 2 players) 6
SB bets $11.00, Hero raises to $22.14 and is all-in, SB calls $11.14

Spoiler:
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Old 09-04-2012, 05:37 AM   #2
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Re: SB VS BB SHOWDOWN***

WP.
Raising flop is good, you got to mix what you raise with.
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Old 09-04-2012, 11:36 AM   #3
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Re: SB VS BB SHOWDOWN***

I would call flop and go from there tbh but I flat my draws way more ip than the rest of this forum seems to suggest so I'm probs wrong.

River seems like it should be closer to a fold than a shove though.
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Old 09-04-2012, 02:59 PM   #4
SCF
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Re: SB VS BB SHOWDOWN***

Looks fine. Your flop semibluff raise is good because you should have decent fold equity on this flop - it is dry, with only one decent draw (which you happen to have, but villain doesn't know that) and villain will often miss this flop (plus villain is oop). If we had a larger sample and villains AF was still only 1 (i.e., low fold equity), calling may be better. However, (very) preliminary reads is that villain is more likely to be a slag/lag with 26/26 and I would go with that rather than the AF on this sample size.

The river raise looks fine. If villain slow played 77, 22 or T7, I'm paying him off - these will mostly be 3betting the flop. 66 is mostly going to fold to the flop raise. T6 and T2 are unlikely to be in the villain's opening range, though we don't have a sense of how often he opens BvB, so they are possible, but not likely. On the other hand, AT-JT are all in villain's raising range here. Villain might fold some of them to a shove (though not likely, he's getting good odds), but you're still getting enough calls to outweigh the occasional slow-played set that boated up OTT.
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Old 09-04-2012, 11:40 PM   #5
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Re: SB VS BB SHOWDOWN***

Quote:
Originally Posted by SCF View Post
Looks fine. Your flop semibluff raise is good because you should have decent fold equity on this flop - it is dry, with only one decent draw (which you happen to have, but villain doesn't know that) and villain will often miss this flop (plus villain is oop). If we had a larger sample and villains AF was still only 1 (i.e., low fold equity), calling may be better. However, (very) preliminary reads is that villain is more likely to be a slag/lag with 26/26 and I would go with that rather than the AF on this sample size.

The river raise looks fine. If villain slow played 77, 22 or T7, I'm paying him off - these will mostly be 3betting the flop. 66 is mostly going to fold to the flop raise. T6 and T2 are unlikely to be in the villain's opening range, though we don't have a sense of how often he opens BvB, so they are possible, but not likely. On the other hand, AT-JT are all in villain's raising range here. Villain might fold some of them to a shove (though not likely, he's getting good odds), but you're still getting enough calls to outweigh the occasional slow-played set that boated up OTT.
Tysm, i appreciate your long anaylsis. Tyty!
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