Bet/fold flop. We have a major range advantage on this flop and can get plenty of value from plenty of Kx and Qx and probably JJ-TT (though of course a check back works fine against exactly JJ-TT because we can get our one street of value later anyway). It's very hard for villain to C/R this flop (especially without the Ac), since we also have KK, QQ, KQ and AcJc, while the only nutted hands villain has are QQ (if villain is smart enough to flat it UTG to a MP 3bet pre, which is not always the case) and 77 and KQ.
Because of our range advantage on this board, we're going to want to cbet all of our 3bet bluffs on this board, because if we xb A3s or whatever, it's going to be pretty difficult to rep a hand later. If we really think that a villain is not going to pay off 3 streets, we can check back the turn and get a second street on the river on most run-outs.
So by betting the flop, we are almost always getting calls or folds and the fact that we ran into one of the very few times we face a c/r here is not a reason to xb the flop. As noted above, we have KK, QQ, KQ and AcJc to defend against a checkraise. Folding AA is probably still exploitable, but I suspect that villains are underbluff-raising here (and are extremely unlikely to be trying to value raise AK), so a fold looks OK.
Quote:
Originally Posted by reziduer
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