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Originally Posted by mojed
Ok I have my first question. On 24:30 minutes, bottom right hand table, you flat a UTG raise with with T8s otb, and raise his cbet on a dry Q73r board. How do you make the decision between floating and trying to steal on the turn, and stealing on the flop? You say you expect a lot of his range to fold there, do you expect 88-JJ to fold on that board most of the time? Thanks, great vid so far.
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id steal on the flop because my hand has less potential so id rather just take it down as opposed to see more cards. i expect him to rebluff almost never, theres very few hands he could semibluff me with and i think hed fold 88-jj w/o much history most of the time. in higher games or against better opponents with more history my raise would be bad and id prob rather float in this spot and raise turn as a bluff (id raise strong hands on the flop for value against someone i didnt think would give me credit) although against someone who is better id just fold to the cbet most of the time. i like doing bluff raises when i have a bunch of back door draws because if say he flats my raise with AQ, he will check turn to me almost always and i can check back my stronger draws and when i hit on the river my line will look really FOS and ill get paid off
sorry if thats a bit tl;dr
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In general is your UTG reasonably 'normal' and you just have a wide CO/Button range?
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my utg range includes a lot more suited connectors and 1 gappers than most people but over this month (38k hands) at 200nl here are my opening %'s when folded to me by position.
UTG: 20.7 MP: 25.1 CO: 39.8 BTN: 62.2
note that the relationship should be non-linear because the advantage of position is that much stronger in later positions