NL50 river bluf?? - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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NL50 river bluf??

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09-02-2014 , 06:49 AM

Drugiz

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 303

Prima Network $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: $7.45
MP: $26.84
CO: $41.74
BTN: $59.71
SB: $60.01
Hero (BB): $50.00

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BB with 6

4 folds, SB raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1

Flop: ($3.00) 4

(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2.00, SB raises to $6.50, Hero calls $4.50

Turn: ($16.00) Q

(2 players)
SB bets $10.75, Hero calls $10.75

River: ($37.50) K

(2 players)
SB checks, Hero ?

opp only 200hands looks like regular, it was his first ch/r on flop

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09-02-2014 , 07:21 AM

gamma001

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 4,144

This is pretty much the worst hand you get to the river with and you haven't got a huge amount of air in your range since you called turn so bet around 22$ or so and expect folds from Jx and air thats better than yours.

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09-02-2014 , 08:48 AM

NikTheGreek

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 1,645

What's his cbet%
I find it hard to construct a range for villain. Unless you are autobetting any missed cbet or you have history he seems fos so should we consider 3b flop since we have 0 SDV?

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09-02-2014 , 08:59 AM

Drugiz

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 303

Quote:

Originally Posted by NikTheGreek

What's his cbet%
I find it hard to construct a range for villain. Unless you are autobetting any missed cbet or you have history he seems fos so should we consider 3b flop since we have 0 SDV?

30% (3/10)

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09-02-2014 , 09:04 AM

Lemon93PCTSure

adept

Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 1,096

Shove seems the only play here? oO
block 56 is the only bad thing else this should be a priority in your bluffing range
which you do want to have here regardless of villain pretty much unless you have very specific reads that he cr just overpair +

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09-02-2014 , 09:49 AM

NikTheGreek

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 1,645

Quote:

Originally Posted by Drugiz

30% (3/10)

That's way down so he can have some value hands too. In that case I cant argue with gamma.

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09-02-2014 , 08:22 PM

KrustyTheClown

adept

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 1,198

I agree you are almost forced to bluff at this river. But on the other hand what are we repping to valuebet this river? KJ or AdTd and that's basicly it.
Anyway, think betting $25 is what I would do.

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09-02-2014 , 09:06 PM

gamma001

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 4,144

We aren't capped on this river, we could potentially have all our sets (sometimes we raise OTT but sometimes they can be called too), QJ, KQdd (KQss??), KJ, ATdd, T9dd, Q4dd stuff like J4s and J3s too, so we have plenty of value combos.

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09-02-2014 , 11:45 PM

Franchise804

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 7,124

Quote:

Originally Posted by gamma001

We aren't capped on this river, we could potentially have all our sets (sometimes we raise OTT but sometimes they can be called too)

Just because we can theoretically flat with the near nuts on a sopping wet board doesn't really mean we ever should and I'm not sure why villain would ever think we would.

Sent from my VS870 4G

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09-03-2014 , 03:14 AM

#10

TWhelan

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2012 Posts: 8,754

I would flat sets on the turn fwiw, don't know if it's best but it seems like it would be to me

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09-03-2014 , 07:09 AM

#11

Auts

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 2,268

Time to win the pot by bluffing.

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