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NL25 - thin value on river NL25 - thin value on river

08-28-2014 , 05:48 PM
Villain is 24/19 seems fairly ok

Too thin? i reason he has many busted draws in his range that he doesnt want to bluff with now, and KJ, QJ, and some JT as well which might call. I dont think he checks a set on river here. Hands in his range that beat me which i think possible is AJ, but most often he would still bet that on river, no?



    Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #30055691

    Hero (CO): $25 (100 bb)
    BTN: $25 (100 bb)
    SB: $56.47 (225.9 bb)
    BB: $38.23 (152.9 bb)
    MP: $17.34 (69.4 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with 7 A
    MP folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BTN folds, SB calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50

    Flop: ($2.25) 7 J 3 (3 players)
    SB bets $1.61, BB folds, Hero calls $1.61

    Turn: ($5.47) A (2 players)
    SB bets $3.91, Hero calls $3.91

    River: ($13.29) T (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $4.50,




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    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-28-2014 , 06:34 PM
    I think you`re oversimplifying this spot and not thinking about what your range looks like on the river.
    The way you played the hand, you can have as many missed draws as him.
    So if he thinks your range is more weighted towards missed draws, betting makes no sense even with quads cos he`s not getting called.Same goes for you.
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-28-2014 , 06:48 PM
    Without any info on v donking multiway, i'm checking back river, can't see much worse calling, and as said before v may be checking a monster to let you bluff you're missed draws
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-28-2014 , 06:52 PM
    Bet river
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-28-2014 , 07:06 PM
    villain can have NFD, jx, lower 2pair etc. bet much bigger as well not just because you have 2pair but for the rest of your betting range.
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-28-2014 , 07:20 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by cardbrute
    villain can have NFD, jx, lower 2pair etc. bet much bigger as well not just because you have 2pair but for the rest of your betting range.
    He`s not calling any bets with those hands, and no don`t see him having any lower two pair.
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-28-2014 , 07:45 PM
    i disagree
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-28-2014 , 08:34 PM
    so does that means that we have to give up 100% of our missed stuffs or hands that doesn't have enough equity?

    Does V never bluff catch here & therefore we are never betting?

    If we do with what range?
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-28-2014 , 10:19 PM
    You block flopped middle set, villain likely 3bets JJ, all the river draws bricked except a few KQs/98s but I'd only include the flopped FD and BDFD KQs/98s, and villain will sometimes 3bet KQs pre so there's a few combos of that villain might not have.

    I'm vbetting this river all day long and never thinking it's thin at all (I wouldn't say it's fat value). Me thinly vbetting river would be with AK type hands.

    EDIT - We don't block NFD from villains range which is nice, puts more hands into villains range that he could play this way. If you guys think villain is folding TP of the busted FD variety, well, I'll bet river with my 2 pair and let villain decide if he wants to fold it or not.

    Also want to ask you guys that xb 2 pair here, what exactly is in your river value betting range? And do you expect them to get called? Eg if you vbet sets on this river (assuming you didn't raise prior), but villains have seen you xb 2 pair, what are you hoping to get villains to call with?

    Last edited by Red Baron; 08-28-2014 at 10:26 PM.
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-29-2014 , 01:14 AM
    wp

    flop could possibly be a fold though

    also BB's stats are relevant
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-29-2014 , 03:40 AM
    Not even close to thin imo

    Flop seems like a fold
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-29-2014 , 03:56 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by neok
    Not even close to thin imo

    Flop seems like a fold
    Yearh it probably is a fold. i tried just now to construct some possible donk ranges here, and if we take his J's, some sets (33 and 77), a two pair combo and a few draws i have a hard time getting more than 19-20% equity against that.

    I think i call donks too much. If we had backdoor flush, or straight possibilities it would probably be a call i think but most of the time we have to improve to win in this spot and we only have 6 outs to do so, and aces are probaly counterfeitet 25% of the time or something here.
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-29-2014 , 04:00 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by neok
    Not even close to thin imo

    Flop seems like a fold
    I would have to agree with this and the last post regarding the flop. A lead into 3 players where for us in a situation where 42 of 47 turn cards are unfavorable when villain double barrels is enough to warrant a fold.

    I am betting the river kinda large so that I rep missed spades and not Ax which is what this bet size represents here. Something closer to 75%pot will get you looked up more often.
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-29-2014 , 04:13 AM
    Probably gonna bet more like $7-8 since you have $19 on the river
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-29-2014 , 07:50 AM
    So I think its pretty relevant to have a plan if villain goes for a checkraise on this river. I agree betting river is 100% good here, but what do we do if he ships on us? Just curious since this type of spot comes up a lot
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-29-2014 , 08:15 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by biz-nitch
    So I think its pretty relevant to have a plan if villain goes for a checkraise on this river. I agree betting river is 100% good here, but what do we do if he ships on us? Just curious since this type of spot comes up a lot
    Why don't you figure out what you're betting with since you seem pretty confident that betting is good, then give your best shot on his range because if you don't know what he's x/shoving here with how do you know it comes up a lot?
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-29-2014 , 08:36 AM
    Still not sure what worse calls other then NFD.
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote
    08-29-2014 , 01:31 PM
    I'd shove river before betting that amount.

    Repped busted spades and bomb it.

    Also flop call is very questionable.
    NL25 - thin value on river Quote

          
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