Preflop: Hero is CO with A 5
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, BTN calls $0.30, SB folds, BB calls $0.20
Flop: ($0.95) 5 8 A (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.70, BTN folds, BB raises to $2.35, Hero raises to $25.37 and is all-in, BB calls $7.45
Turn: ($20.55) 8 (2 players, 1 is all-in) River: ($20.55) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Spoiler:
Results: $20.55 pot ($0.92 rake)
Final Board: 5 8 A 8 2
BTN mucked and lost (-$0.30 net)
BB showed 5 5 and won $19.63 ($9.53 net)
Hero showed A 5 and lost (-$10.10 net)
You need to consider not just his check/raising range but the hands that also then call off vs. a shove.
Let's assume his range is almost entirely worse hands like straight and flush draws. Does putting him all-in on the flop take advantage of that if he then folds the draws and snaps off with 88/55/A5?
I figured his raising range is probably something like AdXd, sets, 2 pairs, 6d7d and maybe strong Aces looking for protection (especially with Ad). Plugging that into pokerstove (just using AdTo+). I get 49.4% equity against his range on the flop.
I guess most of the nonflush drawing aces would fold to the reshove but wouldn't pretty much everything else call?
I feel like if I call the raise on the flop we are probably just going to get it in on the turn and if the turn comes a diamond I'm forced to fold. Is this incorrect?