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Old 01-10-2010, 10:34 AM   #271
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

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Originally Posted by verneer View Post
Most of the time, you are better of folding and I'll talk about why later. The gist of it is that if you play a big pot with a hand like 56s, it's usually going to be a cooler one way or another (trips vs. trips, flush vs. flush, etc). With 56s you are often going to be on the low end of that cooler though, or just not get paid.
oh okay.
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Old 01-10-2010, 10:54 AM   #272
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

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lol that table is horrible.

you should rather have a table with 3 25/10, 1 9/6, and 1 30/5 to your right than a table with 4 15/13 and one 80/10 to your right.

fees theorem
well fees talked about a table with 4 20/18ish players (who will fight for a fair share of the fish' money) and 1 fish, not the 3 nits we have here
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Old 01-10-2010, 11:02 AM   #273
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

I'm sory verneer but there is way too much good stuff in this one post.
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Old 01-10-2010, 11:02 AM   #274
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

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Obviously that we can see what villain does before we have to act. We can make up for this by checking a lot of flops out of position and taking it away on the turn and river if he checks behind.

Not so sure why we can't agree on this part. Maybe because there are different gradations of passive players? Some players will be passive with draws and don't valuebet often enough, but will take a stab once when checked to on the flop.
Let's discuss this further in a new thread I just made:

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/69...sition-681207/

This will make it easier to keep things organized.
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Old 01-10-2010, 11:31 AM   #275
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

Hi.

I've been around at nl25 for a while and I'm still there.
Just went through this very interesting thread, thx Verneer, and checked my performance with Axs UTG and it seems I have to give contra.

Quote:
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Under The Gun (UTG)


Why omit suited aces lower than ATs?

You’ll often find yourself where you are dominated since a lot of people will call preflop in position with A8 – AJ type hands. You won't flop a flush draw often enough to make this profitable, and most often you'll find yourself with a really weak pair or a top pair with no kicker and those are tough to play.
- which seems very profitable for me (i.e. A5s-A9s) like some other borderline hands as well



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Turning off Auto Pilot with JTs and QJs



So use them for the following exercise: Whenever you pick up JTs or QJs in MP, turn off your auto-pilot, and ask yourself whether this is going to be a profitable open for you right here, right now.
QJs, which I raise nearly 100% of the time, and JTs are also doing fine UTG and in MP.



So everyone who is confident in his game, raise it up I guess!!

Last edited by hankat; 01-10-2010 at 11:38 AM.
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Old 01-10-2010, 11:34 AM   #276
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

eeeeek, you have a 71% W$SD with those utg hands.

ouch.
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Old 01-10-2010, 11:35 AM   #277
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

^^

your sample size is indicative of absolutely no conclusions
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Old 01-10-2010, 11:44 AM   #278
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

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your sample size is indicative of absolutely no conclusions
I am sorry for posting it.
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Old 01-10-2010, 11:48 AM   #279
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

Here is my sample of opening 16.2% utg

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Old 01-10-2010, 11:53 AM   #280
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

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I am sorry for posting it.
No no! Thank you for doing it. I would like to ask you a few questions about this further.
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Old 01-10-2010, 12:32 PM   #281
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

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I am sorry for posting it.
naw it's fine that you posted it. just realize 15k hands is a small sample to draw any conclusions about the longterm winrate of the bottom of your UTG range. we would all like to learn from this just as much as you would.
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Old 01-10-2010, 12:54 PM   #282
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

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naw it's fine that you posted it. just realize 15k hands is a small sample to draw any conclusions about the longterm winrate of the bottom of your UTG range. we would all like to learn from this just as much as you would.
and verneer is the only source of information IMO (which leads to the source of my income)
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Old 01-10-2010, 01:03 PM   #283
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

<---- source of information
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Old 01-10-2010, 01:04 PM   #284
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

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No no! Thank you for doing it. I would like to ask you a few questions about this further.
I just spent around 50 minutes talking with hankhat and I think it's very important to give some context to his post.

1. He is a very good player over a 270K hand sample who enjoys poker and low variance of playing the micros. I am posting his graph below:



2. His game has evolved and he's gradually added hands over time. In 2008, his UTG range was much tighter. In fact, it was close to what we recommended. It did not include suited aces or even JTs that much:



Let me emphasize the gradually part. It's clear that he has thought about each hand and added it one at a time. He does a lot of studying as to what hands are profitable for him from different positions. He has also played at these limits for years and has a lot of good reads.

3. He is very good postflop. I looked at how he's played some of JTs and QJs hands he knows when to bet, when to pot control, and when to fold those hands when he's OOP. He is simply a better player than 99% of the 10NL and 25NL player. If durrrr or Phil Galfond was to play at the micros, I am sure they could be profitable with probably 50% of hands UTG.

But most of you are not durrrr. Or Galfond. Or even hankhat

So ... suited aces and medium suited connectors are profitable in the right hands, but anyone who is just starting to develop a solid winrate at these levels is just better off folding them at first.
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Old 01-10-2010, 01:04 PM   #285
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Re: Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

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<---- source of information
We do talk a lot of poker, but as I mentioned, I have a good circle of friends who are much better at poker than I am (a mixture which includes MSNL and HSNL players) and willing to answer my questions
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