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Moving Up Through uNL in 2010 Moving Up Through uNL in 2010

02-25-2010 , 12:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by div108
Launch pokerstove, click on the "Player 1" button, go to the Preflop tab and in the bottom right, just fill in 7%. You'll now have an approximate 7% range.
But they are probably not 3-betting the top 7% of hands though ... it's very player dependent and situationally dependent. Basically if you know someone is 3-betting 7% of hands you know that they are def 3-betting light in quite a few spots.
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02-25-2010 , 02:32 PM
Random question for Verneer. Not sure if this has been addressed yet, but where does your screen name come from? You mentioned in your bio that you coach cross country, is that where the XC comes from?

Great posts, keep it up
Moving Up Through uNL in 2010 Quote
02-25-2010 , 09:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sharkbaitOHH
Random question for Verneer. Not sure if this has been addressed yet, but where does your screen name come from? You mentioned in your bio that you coach cross country, is that where the XC comes from?)
That's it
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02-25-2010 , 11:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sharkbaitOHH
Random question for Verneer. Not sure if this has been addressed yet, but where does your screen name come from? You mentioned in your bio that you coach cross country, is that where the XC comes from?

Great posts, keep it up
Stalker ITT
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02-26-2010 , 03:02 AM
I dont know how i missed this thread before. This is pure gold. Thanks a lot.
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02-27-2010 , 09:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sharkbaitOHH
Random question for Verneer. Not sure if this has been addressed yet, but where does your screen name come from? You mentioned in your bio that you coach cross country, is that where the XC comes from?

Great posts, keep it up
nah, verneers a christian it stands for the cross for christ
Moving Up Through uNL in 2010 Quote
02-27-2010 , 08:34 PM
Update ... meh

I've run/played really poorly at 50NL and my bankroll has taken a serious hit. I haven't had much motivation to play because of this and will go back to playing 25NL for a bit. There were clear times to drop down and I should have done it way sooner than I actually did. Because of both of those things, I also haven't had the motivation to post/write much. I'm disappointed in myself, and needed the few days to clear my head, etc.

Bankroll is at $1,455, but I don't feel good about playing 50NL at this time bankroll wise. The aggression at the higher limit leads to more variance, bigger swings, and thus if I'm not ready to play my A-game there (which I'm not ATM), I shouldn't play - even if my bankroll has x number of buy-ins.
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02-27-2010 , 08:45 PM
wtf why are those 2 girls so hot yet so ****ing annoying
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02-27-2010 , 09:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by verneer
Update ... meh

I've run/played really poorly at 50NL and my bankroll has taken a serious hit. I haven't had much motivation to play because of this and will go back to playing 25NL for a bit. There were clear times to drop down and I should have done it way sooner than I actually did. Because of both of those things, I also haven't had the motivation to post/write much. I'm disappointed in myself, and needed the few days to clear my head, etc.

Bankroll is at $1,455, but I don't feel good about playing 50NL at this time bankroll wise. The aggression at the higher limit leads to more variance, bigger swings, and thus if I'm not ready to play my A-game there (which I'm not ATM), I shouldn't play - even if my bankroll has x number of buy-ins.
Time for a sweat imo

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNextDurrrr
wtf why are those 2 girls so hot yet so ****ing awesome?
FYP
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02-27-2010 , 09:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ksight3
Time for a sweat imo
That + watching some select videos is the plan. This will remind me that I'm still doing tons of things right AND make some general adjustments to my game in spots where I feel I'm doing poorly.
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02-27-2010 , 10:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNextDurrrr
wtf why are those 2 girls so hot yet so ****ing annoying
they are standard high school girls. every 16 year old girl looks like that now. go to a house party. and they are beyond annoying. at least get the ones that want to act mature and will impress you with bjs and such.
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02-27-2010 , 10:55 PM
Just fk a bitch in the ass imo
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02-28-2010 , 12:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by verneer
Update ... meh

I've run/played really poorly at 50NL and my bankroll has taken a serious hit. I haven't had much motivation to play because of this and will go back to playing 25NL for a bit. There were clear times to drop down and I should have done it way sooner than I actually did. Because of both of those things, I also haven't had the motivation to post/write much. I'm disappointed in myself, and needed the few days to clear my head, etc.

Bankroll is at $1,455, but I don't feel good about playing 50NL at this time bankroll wise. The aggression at the higher limit leads to more variance, bigger swings, and thus if I'm not ready to play my A-game there (which I'm not ATM), I shouldn't play - even if my bankroll has x number of buy-ins.
I thought you were a winning player before at NL100+? Does NL50 really play that differently from NL25 and NL100?
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02-28-2010 , 12:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by luddite
I thought you were a winning player before at NL100+? Does NL50 really play that differently from NL25 and NL100?
the gap between 50NL and 100NL is as close as it's ever been imo. the gap between 25NL and 50NL may be as wide as its ever been. some of it has to do with the global economy and some of it has to do with a slew of formerly marginal 100NL winners moving down to sustain themselves.
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02-28-2010 , 01:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ligic
Just fk a bitch in the ass imo
I'm not sure this is the line I would take. Has the bitch washed his ass?
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02-28-2010 , 01:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stackajawea
the gap between 50NL and 100NL is as close as it's ever been imo. the gap between 25NL and 50NL may be as wide as its ever been. some of it has to do with the global economy and some of it has to do with a slew of formerly marginal 100NL winners moving down to sustain themselves.
Pretty depressing fact.
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02-28-2010 , 01:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sirbenfro
I'm not sure this is the line I would take. Has the bitch washed his ass?
are u gay????????????

verneer, im sure u have the midset and skill to bet nl50!!!!! good luck!
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02-28-2010 , 02:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by verneer
Playing the Button, Part 1

[...]

Some Math behind 4-bet bluffing:

You raise 3 BB's on the button and villains 3-bets you to 10 BB's. There are 13 BB's in the pot. You 4-bet to 26 BBs'. When you do that, you are risking 23 BB's to win the 13 BB's that are in the pot.

This will show a profit if villain folds (23)/(13 + 23) = 68% of the time. If villain is only getting it in with TT+, AK, a 4-bet bluff will be very borderline, but there are great meta-game implications for 4-bet bluffing:

A) Villains is much less likely to 3-bet you light if he knows that you are going to be 4-bet bluffing him.

B) Villain is willing to stack off much lighter.

Thus, since they tighten up their range, we can go back to stealing their blinds with a greater frequency and not let them get out of line.

More Math, behind 4-bet jamming medium pockets:

We said that if the villain is 3-betting us with a range of ~12%, that range will include a lot of hands that he's going to be folding. Roughly around 2/3 of the hands he is 3-betting he's going to be folding. Vs. a range of TT+, AQ+, a hand like 66 has 38% equity when called. So, assuming 100 BB stacks:

- 66% of the time villain 3-bet/folds. We win 13 BB's (our 3 that we opened with and their 10 which they 3-bet with).

- 33% of the time they call and we have 38% equity vs. their range. Our share of equity in a 200 BB pot is 76 BBs. Since we risk 97 BB's to do it, the play will cost us 21 BB's in the long run.

So: 66% (+13 BBs) + 33% (-21 BB's) = +1.65 BB's.

This might not seem like a lot, but again - consider the potential long term implications of making such plays as listed above in the 4-bet/bluffing discussion.

Plays like this could potentially increase your winrate by a few BB/100 (as illustrated above) in the short term, and massively more so in the long term when you tilt people.

Key Idea: Base your opening range on the most active player in the blinds. So if you have a nit and a TAG, open according to the TAG's range. If you have a TAG and a loose/passive, open with a range that targets the loose/passive, etc.
I have a question about 4bet bluffing. I was always under the implication that 4bet/folding preflop is a bad play. However, if we 4bet to 26BB is it cheap enough to fold to a 5bet shove? What types hands should we be 4bet bluffing with? Should we be pure 4bet bluffing random cards, or cards that have equity like 98s or blockers like A5s? What do we do when faced with a 5bet shove with hands like 98s and A5s?

Thanks in advance.
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02-28-2010 , 04:05 PM
4bet(bluffing i guess) 77-TT seems like a bad idea for me, i suspesct I can get more EV by flatting
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02-28-2010 , 05:28 PM
Great thread!!!!
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02-28-2010 , 10:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stackajawea
the gap between 50NL and 100NL is as close as it's ever been imo. the gap between 25NL and 50NL may be as wide as its ever been. some of it has to do with the global economy and some of it has to do with a slew of formerly marginal 100NL winners moving down to sustain themselves.
There is a lot of truth in what Stack has said. I find that the gap between 25NL and 50NL is very significant in terms of aggressive players. It's totally standard for a table to have 2-3 players with a VPIP of over 26, a PFR of over 20, and a 3-bet of over 8. Tables like this are just going to be tough to play and will cause your variance to shoot up due to getting it in lighter and lighter. This is just not the case at 25NL at this point (at least on FTP).

That said, I think I simply made a lot of bad decisions when I moved up to 50NL.

1. First of all, I was really excited about my progress and tried to win more and sooner than I could have. My own impatience led me away from taking the right steps and grinding +EV situations.

2. When variance was killing me, I didn't stop playing soon enough. We all know it's impossible to play your A-game when you are losing and I didn't cut my losses when I should have.

3. Playing HU is not the same as riding a bike ... I played very poorly in many spots.

4. I am still not comfortable playing an aggressive style with 30 BI's and even though taking a shot would have been ok, making the jump to 50NL would not have been. I think as you move up, the games become more aggressive and you need more BI's to play your A-game. So ... saying that you need x # of BI's to play any level is silly. I think playing 5NL with 20 BI's should be fine due to the passive nature of the limit, whereas playing 5/10 with 20 BI's is probably a bad idea due to the variance.

5. I've played pretty much every day for the last two months and I was starting to really dread poker. Breaks are really +EV and I didn't take one to re-focus. Thus, I often played anxious and didn't have fun.

The bottom line is that I should have decide to take a 4 BI shot and then extend that shot as long as possible. What I mean by that is ... put myself in the lowest variance situations and slowly ease into the limit. That's going to be my plan for my next shot.

I will play fewer tables and try to put myself in fewer marginal situations. If I end up losing 4 BI's, I will go back to 25NL and grind it out till I get those 4 BI's back. Then I will continue doing this until I finally break through.

My head will be much more clear as I move up to 50NL next time as well. I'm going to approach it with a detached attitude and just focus on getting in as many hands as possible in the 4 BI's I'm going to allow myself. If I lose, that's fine - I won't think of it as failure, but instead will work to create another opportunity to take a 4 BI shot at the lower level where my risk of ruin is pretty much zero.

Cliff Notes: I'm embarrassed to say that my head simply wasn't right when I moved up to 50NL the first time. I'm determined to fix that for next time.

Last edited by verneer; 02-28-2010 at 10:56 PM.
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03-01-2010 , 12:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by verneer

Cliff Notes: I'm embarrassed to say that my head simply wasn't right when I moved up to 50NL the first time. I'm determined to fix that for next time.
Curious to see how you approach 50nl when you feel comfortable playing there again. I've passed through 25nl 3 times only to get absolutely destroyed at 50nl every time. I'm hoping to take another shot at 50 next month sometime, once I regain the confidence from running under EV for so long and add a bit more to my BR.

In 2010 I've been playing pretty well at 25nl, although getting crushed by variance whenever I get it all in, but I'm still curious to see certain spots where you make adjustments based on playing the more aggressive players at 50nl compared to 25nl.
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03-01-2010 , 12:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SomethingFishy
they are standard high school girls. every 16 year old girl looks like that now. go to a house party. and they are beyond annoying. at least get the ones that want to act mature and will impress you with bjs and such.
you are not in high school amirite?
btw ul verneer kinda scary that you cant crush 50NL
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03-01-2010 , 04:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNextDurrrr
btw ul verneer kinda scary that you cant crush 50NL
can't run good all the time, or rather this challenge would be almost boring if all you had to do was move up when you reached X buy-ins. Bankroll management and a controlled change in levels seem to be the most important parts of these types of challenges. Really good poker players have failed at them before. So verneer I offer some encouragement, I believe you have been approaching this challenge with a good mindset and are capable of completing it.

But to continue it successfully, your motivation must improve. You must answer to yourself why you play poker, and more specifically why are you doing this challenge? Don't be afraid to realign your motivations. What started you on this path may not be the same motivation that keeps you on it.
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03-01-2010 , 06:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNextDurrrr
btw ul verneer kinda scary that you cant crush 50NL
I'm confident that I can. It might not happen as quickly as I would like though. (I am confident I can beat 100NL as well, but playing it right now is a bad idea due to bankroll issues).
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaveBrown
can't run good all the time, or rather this challenge would be almost boring if all you had to do was move up when you reached X buy-ins. Bankroll management and a controlled change in levels seem to be the most important parts of these types of challenges. Really good poker players have failed at them before. So verneer I offer some encouragement, I believe you have been approaching this challenge with a good mindset and are capable of completing it.

But to continue it successfully, your motivation must improve. You must answer to yourself why you play poker, and more specifically why are you doing this challenge? Don't be afraid to realign your motivations. What started you on this path may not be the same motivation that keeps you on it.
Thanks Dave. I agree - I do need to re-examine my motivation for doing it, but I feel it's still very strong - both from an educational standpoint (for me and others) and from a personal challenge one. The task is 100% doable, I just can't hurry some things.
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