Quote:
Originally Posted by whitemares
Those preflop stats are absurd, how big is your sample? If the sample is significant, I don't see much use in trying to bluff a 22/2 villain who 3bet our 4x UTG open (which I also wouldn't suggest doing) and bet the flop. As was said, your fold equity is going to be pretty minimal vs such a tight range, especially with that sizing. Plus that river is pretty good for villain's range too, not just yours. Having a blocker would be pretty relevant here.
I have checked back my hand. Indeed, wrong Villain stats, my bad. It was
VPIP 22, PFR 20, AF 1.8 over 61 hands only, 3bet 5.0. So 20 PFR, not 2 PFR.
AJs plays so bad when 3betted IP. Yes, equity-wide we have 37% against a 5% 3-bet range, so calling here is mathematically sound. However, unless we hit JJx, AAx, KQT or a flush draw this hand is mostly a dud to play OOP against a 3bet.
I must admit, I barely understand the concept of blockers, nor do I know yet how to use that knowledge. In my mind, having AJ does not make it magically more difficult to face another Ax somewhere when we are not in a HU game, especially when having A-something makes it likelier for Villain to call behind somewhere. I have seen enough AK vs AA, or AK vs KK, or called down Axx with A-rag rationalizing that chances are small he might have another A with two being visible, only to find myself against AT+, to know that if he has it, there it is, blocker or not blocker.
Last edited by Drakken; 05-20-2017 at 02:59 AM.