Results: $59 pot ($2 rake)
Final Board: 2 4 A 2 5
SB showed 6 9 and won $57 ($30.50 net)
MP mucked A K and lost (-$26.50 net)
Both Villains are unknown.
I lead the Flop instead of c/c or c/r, b/c I dont wanna miss a street of value. This seems pretty unbalanced b/c I wouldn't lead worse hands for value and rarely do that as a semibluff on this flop.
OTF the raise is basically flushes and that's it IMO. He is getting OK odds pre he might have worse flush than me but also better. The overcall is sets, flushes, AxK and maybe the Nutflushdraw KQx and almost never Top2.
OTT all sets make the FH and I don't think I am good anymore. The bet seems weird b/c I didn't think he would bet flushes, but i also did not think that he raises sets OTF. I think I am only good in the rather rare case where he bets worse flushes or bluffs and MP called the flop with the Nutflushdraw.
I think the fold is fine. Even if he does raise there with the nut flush draw I don't think he would usually lead out the turn when he misses. His line is pretty much only flushes, but his bet sizings on the turn and river are so small that I would probably call down here. Not sure if that's a +EV play or not though. It's definitely possible that folding turn is the best play in the long run.