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Confusing AK river spot Confusing AK river spot

04-23-2017 , 08:58 AM
    Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37709633

    BB: $5.98 (119.6 bb)
    UTG: $4.14 (82.8 bb)
    MP: $2.20 (44 bb)
    CO: $5 (100 bb)
    BTN: $5.29 (105.8 bb)
    Hero (SB): $6.85 (137 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with K A
    2 folds, CO raises to $0.12, BTN folds, Hero raises to $0.40, BB calls $0.35, CO folds

    Flop: ($0.92) 2 K 7 (2 players)
    Hero bets $0.35, BB raises to $0.70, Hero calls $0.35

    Turn: ($2.32) 9 (2 players)
    Hero checks, BB bets $1.66, Hero calls $1.66

    River: ($5.64) 7 (2 players)
    Hero checks, BB bets $3.22 and is all-in

    Results: $5.64 pot
    Final Board: 2 K 7 9 7
    BB mucked and lost (-$2.76 net)
    Hero mucked K A and lost (-$2.76 net)



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    This is a really awkward spot on the river. I feel like villain may have a preflop slow played AA or KK (he tanked for awhile before cold calling my 3 bet) or maybe 77. It is also possible that he also has AK. I dont see that he has too many flushes. It is very hard to think of any bluffs he can have here or any value hands that I beat. He is a 15/15 over 68 hand so seems fairly solid. I need to be good here 27% of the time, what should I do.
    BTW the flop was sized so small because it was so dry and to give me a better price on my bluffs.
    Confusing AK river spot Quote
    04-23-2017 , 09:09 AM
    Nh except sizing. I get your reasons, but 55% flop and bet bet shove is better imo.
    This isn't a flop we are expecting to get raised on so I'm instantly suspicious of this raise. I'm basically not folding TPTK in a 3bet pot 100 BBs deep or thereabouts on a dry board.
    Confusing AK river spot Quote
    04-24-2017 , 08:12 AM
    Flop bet sizing is pretty bad, should be just more than pot. Normally I wouldnt expect him to play his nuttish hands so aggresively with the board so dry but I expect hes trying to get value after we bet so small on the flop.
    Confusing AK river spot Quote
    04-24-2017 , 09:23 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by IfYouAintHighBy2
    Flop bet sizing is pretty bad, should be just more than pot. Normally I wouldnt expect him to play his nuttish hands so aggresively with the board so dry but I expect hes trying to get value after we bet so small on the flop.
    What reason is there for betting more than pot?
    Confusing AK river spot Quote
    04-24-2017 , 09:25 AM
    Call river 7 on the river is a great card for us

    Edit misread hand and just noticed he cold called 3bet , still not folding but do see fish (not saying he is one) have AA here occasionally thinking it's great play when really it's terrible.
    Confusing AK river spot Quote
    04-24-2017 , 03:15 PM
    Well played except call otr.
    Confusing AK river spot Quote
    04-24-2017 , 03:20 PM
    Sorry, Meant to say just over half pot.
    Confusing AK river spot Quote
    04-24-2017 , 03:33 PM
    Flop sizing is fine.

    Call river.
    Confusing AK river spot Quote
    04-24-2017 , 03:54 PM
    NH, I don't think thats a bad sizing flop on a 3bet pot. I wouldn't consider flushes at all so he could easily be overplaying Kx. Calling him down seems standard to me.
    Confusing AK river spot Quote

          
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