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Bet river as a bluff or give up Bet river as a bluff or give up

10-13-2015 , 01:53 AM
888 Poker - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 20.32, PFR: 16.90, 3Bet Preflop: 5.52, Hands: 458)
SB: 137.9 BB (VPIP: 21.23, PFR: 14.77, 3Bet Preflop: 4.78, Hands: 1,976)
BB: 91.8 BB (VPIP: 53.97, PFR: 7.94, 3Bet Preflop: 3.70, Hands: 65)
Hero (UTG): 119.2 BB
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
CO: 126.8 BB (VPIP: 22.89, PFR: 14.46, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 87)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T K

Hero raises to 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (9.5 BB, 3 players) 3 J 3
BB checks, Hero bets 7.1 BB, MP calls 7.1 BB, fold

Turn: (23.7 BB, 2 players) Q
Hero bets 17.7 BB, MP calls 17.7 BB

River: (59.1 BB, 2 players) Q
Hero ??

So...double paired board here, difficult for villain to have hit too much of it. Are we folding out 77-TT enough here to bet river? Got some sweet blockers to Jx and Qx.
Bet river as a bluff or give up Quote
10-13-2015 , 02:15 AM
We have a pretty damn strong perceived range here. A lot of our air like AT and AK check back this flop very often. Relatively dry board and nothing "bricked" - there weren't any particular draws.

I think his JJ would let us know by the turn, though it can be in his range. KQ doesn't float often so all I'd really be scared of is AQ when it comes to hands that just embarrass us.
Bet river as a bluff or give up Quote
10-13-2015 , 02:29 AM
A lot of our air like AT and AK check back this flop very often.

what ?
Bet river as a bluff or give up Quote
10-13-2015 , 02:31 AM
check
Bet river as a bluff or give up Quote
10-13-2015 , 02:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by utgboy
A lot of our air like AT and AK check back this flop very often.

what ?
Nah, you're right. It's late and idk what I was thinking, we definitely actually c-bet them a good bit.

Would you not have some checks with AK here though?
Bet river as a bluff or give up Quote
10-13-2015 , 02:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by freakinbird
Nah, you're right. It's late and idk what I was thinking, we definitely actually c-bet them a good bit.

Would you not have some checks with AK here though?
Hmm from utg when our percived range is so strong i dont think i will x air here. offcourse villian dependent
Bet river as a bluff or give up Quote
10-13-2015 , 11:19 AM
Flop is too big imo

I'd x/f river as I expect to get heroed by Jx a decent amount on this rivercard and he folds most of his 77-TT OTT
Bet river as a bluff or give up Quote
10-13-2015 , 11:36 AM
I'd check. I don't think we rep anything that well other than like JQ and that's such a narrow range.
Bet river as a bluff or give up Quote
10-13-2015 , 11:45 AM
Give up.
Most of the hands you're talking about folding are folding the turn. With the board pairing I don't think V calls turn then folds otr often enough otr to make the bluff profitable.
Bet river as a bluff or give up Quote
10-13-2015 , 12:26 PM
Turn also way too big imo, 77-TT will just as well fold to 0.5psb and Jx will almost never fold so might as well go smaller. You also want to get value from ur KJ type hands here.
Bet river as a bluff or give up Quote

      
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