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Would you shove or call this, i think calling and evaluate is difficult too, if you dont know how often he bluffs river.
Shuving flop is bad. Everything you beat will fold. Don't be afraid to play the river, it's a street like any other.
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In fact playing this line with 22,66 would be awful from him, he should just call to the river.
I don't feel raising with a set here is bad + he would be perfectly justified in calling with 22 or 66, he is IP and there's a passive fish in the CO that can juice up the pot if he hits.