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5 NL quick analysis 5 NL quick analysis

03-27-2017 , 09:33 AM
No Limit Hold'em $0.02/$0.05
PokerStars
6 players

Stacks:
UTG - UTG ($7.42)
MP - Hero ($5.31)
CO - CO ($8.98)
BTN - BTN ($13.38)
SB - SB ($5.15)
BB - BB ($4.13)

Preflop: ($0.07, 6 players) Hero is MP with A Q
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.15, 3 folds, BB raises to $0.50, Hero calls $0.35

Flop: 5 3 A ($1.02, 2 players)
BB bets $0.72, Hero calls $0.72

Turn: 9 ($2.46, 2 players)
BB bets $1.72, Hero raises to $3.65, BB calls $1.19 (all-in), Uncalled bet of $0.74 returned to Hero

River: 7 ($8.28, 2 players, 1 all-in)

Total Pot: $8.28
BB shows K A (a pair of Aces)
Hero shows A Q (a pair of Aces - lower kicker)

BB wins $7.94



Can I fold in these spots where villian probably is a rec? If I call the turn I can just gii, but I dont see me folding unless I know villain is very tight.
5 NL quick analysis Quote
03-27-2017 , 09:48 AM
In this situation as you were playing microstakes 5nl when they 3 bet its usually really strong....Most of them 3 bet with Ak and JJ+....There are few ppl who 3 bet light and if you are using a hud you should look at their 3 bet stats if its more than 6 you can think of calling with your broadway cards otherwise most of them are really nitty when it comes to 3 bet.... Most of the 5nl players really likes to protect their blinds so they 3 bet mostly from sb and bb to protect their blinds, so you can call it light with AQ kind of hands when they 3 bet you from those positions... and if i was in your position and if I wouldn't have enough stats on him i would have folded it preflop.
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03-27-2017 , 09:56 AM
Don't even think about folding pre IP as above recommends.

I think vs a short-stacker I'm probably playing this exactly the same.
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03-27-2017 , 09:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by whalevsfish
Most of the 5nl players really likes to protect their blinds so they 3 bet mostly from sb and bb to protect their blinds.
Okay, I haven't played 5NL for a long time but this seems off. I'd say most of the 5NL players don't protect their blinds enough and if they do, they call rather than raise with everything except the very top of their range.
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03-27-2017 , 10:18 AM
Nh
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03-27-2017 , 11:10 AM
Don't mind the flat IP pre-flop as villain will play pretty face up OOP.

I really don't like the shove OTT, don't understand why others like it so much...
We are never GII here ahead, we are going to see so much AK, AA, two pair in this spot and at a low frequency some monsters draws like 67ss, 46ss maybe. Calling is far more better to keep bluffs and random spazzes from villain.
UNLESS villian is a super mega fish who will GII here with any Ax, but there is very few villains like that at 5NL.

Call turn to keep bluffs in and re-evaluate river.
5 NL quick analysis Quote
03-27-2017 , 11:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ALongmuir
Don't mind the flat IP pre-flop as villain will play pretty face up OOP.

I really don't like the shove OTT, don't understand why others like it so much...
We are never GII here ahead, we are going to see so much AK, AA, two pair in this spot and at a low frequency some monsters draws like 67ss, 46ss maybe. Calling is far more better to keep bluffs and random spazzes from villain.
UNLESS villian is a super mega fish who will GII here with any Ax, but there is very few villains like that at 5NL.

Call turn to keep bluffs in and re-evaluate river.
If villain is on a draw it's better to get it in now while they still think they can hit, is my take. If villain is bluffing his spades or 67 type hands, then we're better just getting it all in now before villain has chance to miss and give up especially with this SPR OTT.
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03-27-2017 , 11:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rikk
If villain is on a draw it's better to get it in now while they still think they can hit, is my take. If villain is bluffing his spades or 67 type hands, then we're better just getting it all in now before villain has chance to miss and give up especially with this SPR OTT.
True. They do have enough equity to make that call and that is better.
So maybe its more of a spot, do I want to GII here or just fold this turn. I feel that if we GII here we are always so far behind to villains range that he double barrels on the runout.

If we are deciding to GII/fold OTT, possibly we could debate making a very nitty fold at least a % of the time here with AQ. If you look at the bet sizing, it very much looks like someone who wants to GII, when we GII, best case scenario we are chopping, which is a spot which is clearly not profitable.
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03-27-2017 , 11:35 AM
I don't think pre is an absolute nailed on call, but most of the time it is. Obviously depends on villain's stats.

Assuming villain is a 'normal' reg, I don't like the shove, cause it just narrows his range to much. I think draws like KJ and KG spades flat pre, so no value from them. Vast majority of the time you don't get value from JJ-KK. AJ probably flats. So at best your getting value I think from pre flop bluff suited aces, some of which will have made two pair.
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