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2nl C-bet? 2nl C-bet?

05-20-2017 , 03:35 PM
UTG (2.39).
MP (1.99).
CO (4.11).
BTN (2.45).
Hero (SB) (2.03).
BB (2.09).

Preflop : Hero is SB with A Q
1 fold, MP raises to 0.06$, 2 folds, Hero raises to 0.22$, 1 fold, MP calls 0.16$

Flop: (0.46$) T K 5 (2 players)
Hero ?

do you cbet here? If yes, what are your plan if he calls? on which turn cards you will continue barrelling?
c/c? c/f?

thanks
2nl C-bet? Quote
05-20-2017 , 03:53 PM
I really struggle with AQo cbets but i think this should be one. P much giving up on any non J/A turn i think.

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2nl C-bet? Quote
05-21-2017 , 12:30 PM
Really good hand to review. I think it can be played either way. I put this board into flopzilla and villain has no hand or A high close to 70% of the time on this flop.

Reasons to check back are that you're not getting paid by worse or folding out better (maybe some 3rd and 4th pairs). AQ is too strong to bluff and not strong enough to value bet. And you may be able to profitably bluff catch if you induce your opponent to get aggressive.

Reasons to c-bet are that villain has a lot of hands that can pick up equity on the turn and if you plan on playing AQ as a bluff catch that means some of the time you will not only be letting them get ahead, you will be paying them off as well. Also, if you get called you have some good cards that can come and you will have built up a bigger pot the times you get there. And with this board texture villain is going to fold a lot of the time.

In the end I think I lean towards checking back and preparing to call down on a lot of run outs.
2nl C-bet? Quote
05-21-2017 , 12:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zues126
Really good hand to review. I think it can be played either way. I put this board into flopzilla and villain has no hand or A high close to 70% of the time on this flop.

Reasons to check back are that you're not getting paid by worse or folding out better (maybe some 3rd and 4th pairs). AQ is too strong to bluff and not strong enough to value bet. And you may be able to profitably bluff catch if you induce your opponent to get aggressive.

Reasons to c-bet are that villain has a lot of hands that can pick up equity on the turn and if you plan on playing AQ as a bluff catch that means some of the time you will not only be letting them get ahead, you will be paying them off as well. Also, if you get called you have some good cards that can come and you will have built up a bigger pot the times you get there. And with this board texture villain is going to fold a lot of the time.

In the end I think I lean towards checking back and preparing to call down on a lot of run outs.
At this spot we are not checking back, we are checking to villian, it's a bit different.

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2nl C-bet? Quote
05-21-2017 , 12:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by yonis9
At this spot we are not checking back, we are checking to villian, it's a bit different.

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My mistake, thank you.

Out of position as the pf aggressor I think I'd fire a c-bet here. I'd be prepared to fold to a raise, and I'd quit firing unless I hit one of my three jacks to the nuts. If I hit an A I'd probably check/call many run outs. If I blank and he begins firing I'd probably give it up unless I had reason to think he was really laggy and could do this with random cards. But by firing the C-bet I'm making him put a lot of his stack at risk to fight for this pot. If he wants to call a 3 bet pf, float a c-bet, and then fire big on the turn against my sb 3bet range we can do that all day long.

That's my feelings. Thoughts?
2nl C-bet? Quote
05-21-2017 , 05:47 PM
I tend to agree with both of you guys, thanks.

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2nl C-bet? Quote
05-21-2017 , 06:03 PM
Several times the profit on 3B pots is coming from the times our opponent folds vs cb, if we bet 55% of the PS, he should fold 25 -30 or more to be +EV, so Im definitely taking this shot here... Other good thing to have in mind here is what make our inclination to CB here as well is the combination of pot-equity plus fold equity, this combination makes the CB more +EV decision
2nl C-bet? Quote

      
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