Quote:
Originally Posted by 2000 East
What would your plan and sizings look like?
I mean you did say the 4bet pre is fine, how would you play this post flop then?
I'll tell you how I would have done things as played, but it's going to quickly fall apart- because you did too much stuff I wouldn't have done and I'm going to be guessing on what he would do to respond.
On the flop I would bet about 25bb. If he calls, and this turn comes, if he's someone that I've seen float I would bet again. If he's someone that hasn't floated, or doesn't float, I would check. This is where it starts to get sticky and we haven't even hit the river yet.
If he raises, I fold- unless the raise is small enough to warrant a call... especially if he's made donk moves like this before.
See, it's going to get too messy.
Let's just imagine I mislpayed the hand to where you were and then I would act differently at that point.
But we're going to imagine I played the flop the way you did.
Turn:
We bet 25bb into 76bb. 1/3 pot bet. Absolutely silly. What are our plans if he calls or raises? I doubt we have one. If our hope is to make him fold, let's bet 43bb.
Now I have two options here and it's going to vary depending on the player. In fact, this whole thing is now getting crazily on a tangent... but let's keep going.
Let's say he calls my 43bb bet. 43+43+76 = 162bb in the pot.
Call-on-turn-then-riv:
Bet 125bb regardless of what comes. If I'm betting strong on the turn against a player, then I am going to follow my almost never-bluff with a full bluff. If I get looked up, it's great for meta (and I hardly ever bluff, especially this much). He can't raise without a winner. He can only raise if he's got you beat. So if that happens, we play our hand for value accordingly. If we make our flush or straight, we're calling a raise probably. If the board pairs and we make our flush, we might even find a fold... because I doubt we're ahead if he's raising there. His line looks really like KK/QQ if that's what happens- and even if it's not... good for him for cold calling a bunch of streets with air and then moving us off our hand. Not gonna bode well for him against our usual tight range.
But what if he raises the turn?
Depending on his raise size, I probably fold. We went from 1 in 3 to 1 in 6 for hitting our flush... and now we need some damn good odds in order to justify this thing. Further... some of his range has us drawing dead (especially with a turn raise), and it's just a scary situation to raise in. If he min clicks-back or something, I probably still fold. I'm not going to start jamming my stack in the middle with nothing.
But that was my plan for the hand which started preflop.
And everyone's going to probably chime in with how terrible it is- but it should be noted I would hardly ever do this. Maybe once per 300-400 hands. You have to mix it into your game, because it's honestly printing money.
But I've said enough and you're probably not gonna read it. Nor agree with it. That's the nature of the poker player. A million pros on this site, yet hardly anybody is making money. Gotta look at justifications, not suggestions.