Results: $5.50 pot ($0.25 rake)
Final Board: J J 4
SB mucked and won $5.25 ($2.63 net)
Hero mucked K K and lost (-$2.62 net)
Wasn't too sure if I could jam over the top here or whether folding is just the best play all round. I did a pokerstove simulation giving him a range of QQ,JJ,AKs,AKo,AJs and QJs. I think all of these could call my 3bet and then also play this way on the flop with the AKs/AKo being bluffs. This had me as a 74% favourite, however if I removed the AK hands then it has me at 63% and then also removing QQ has me at a measly 8% to win.
Given all of this information do people think I should be calling/jamming here or is folding the best option? I had 20 hands on villain so no discernible info to help with the decision. If we include his bluffs then I'm well ahead but if he's only playing this way with a J then I'm way way behind.
Put him on a range of hands and see how do against that range. Ask yourself questions like:
1) What range of hands is likely given pre flop action
2) Is V capable of playing a flopped FD like this?
3) Is it likely that V is raising the JX in his range?