Quote:
Originally Posted by throwaway44
im not a good player, but i would start by defining a hand range which would bet/call in position. Lets discount AA-QQ as they would get it in pre. AT would be too loose to call here unless has specific notes on you. We are left with medium pp JJ-88 and AK-AJ. The only hand that pots here in my opinion is AK, because board for it is not very nice to slowplay. QJ would rarely be found postflon and if, i can't imagine pot size bet w flopped nuts. Sets would be played more passively. If not, i don't see a hand that makes this play and doesn't have you dominated
I like most your thought process but I don't think you should be narrowing it down to just AK... I pretty much agree with your range givin action pre but otf I'm still putting the 3 combos each of 99 TT in his range (very wet board, he could pot a set here to protect) then 12 combos left for AK, and I also think KQs could call a 3bet pre in postion and again could pot it because supper wet board, so id give the 3 combos for KQs as well so that's 21 combos that ur behind to... any semi bluffs with draws here I wouldn't except a psb but I guess he could bluff some AdXd... as played I would fold, but I would lead 1/2pot be maybe a little less, you have the Jd blocker, gut shot, and I think his total range pre is something like 77-TT , AJs+, AJo+, KQs, so otf you would have 60% equity vs that range, and the I cant see him reraising your lead without set or AK then be able to fold w more confidence, he flats you could spike a Q ott, turn diamond would be alright... idk but I would lead this flop
