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Old 02-16-2017, 08:55 PM   #1
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 3
Tricky spot A10

I usually just replay hands by myself to work them out, but I'm in a spot here where I don't really know what's +EV. I feel I should have check called river considering half-pot bet and villain putting me on flush draws. Villain is Tight A with low VP and PFR stats. Plays fairly standard post-flop. Should I just shove when he checks to me on the turn. Am I up against overpair, as I feel AK would not have called big raise on flop, and none of his other ranges could stay in (maybe 77 - 99 type hands). Also, I block the nut flush draw. Yet, the turn check threw me. Any comments appreciated. Cheers.

PokerStars Hand #166321570254: Hold'em No Limit ($0.08/$0.16 USD) -

    Poker Stars, $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37640797

    BTN: $16 (100 bb)
    SB: $14.96 (93.5 bb)
    BB: $8.79 (54.9 bb)
    UTG+1: $16 (100 bb)
    UTG+2: $16.26 (101.6 bb)
    MP1: $29.25 (182.8 bb)
    MP2: $16 (100 bb)
    MP3: $19.40 (121.3 bb)
    Hero (CO): $11.05 (69.1 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with A T
    UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to $0.48, MP1 calls $0.48, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.48, 3 folds

    Flop: ($1.68) T 4 4 (3 players)
    UTG+2 bets $1.20, MP1 folds, Hero raises to $3.20, UTG+2 calls $2

    Turn: ($8.08) 5 (2 players)
    UTG+2 checks, Hero checks

    River: ($8.08) 2 (2 players)
    UTG+2 bets $4.40, Hero folds


    Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Alexis38 [Ad Ts]
    VladimirIRON: folds
    Dcaro31: raises $0.32 to $0.48
    MrRussia777: calls $0.48
    EatYouMoney: folds
    aaizhavli: folds
    Alexis38: calls $0.48
    sebasm15: folds
    birdmina44: folds
    67JohnBhoy67: folds
    *** FLOP *** [Td 4s 4d]
    Dcaro31: bets $1.20
    MrRussia777: folds
    Alexis38: raises $2 to $3.20
    Dcaro31: calls $2
    *** TURN *** [Td 4s 4d] [5c]
    Dcaro31: checks
    Alexis38: checks
    *** RIVER *** [Td 4s 4d 5c] [2c]
    Dcaro31: bets $4.40
    Alexis38: folds [Ad Ts]
    Uncalled bet ($4.40) returned to Dcaro31
    Dcaro31 collected $7.72 from pot
    Dcaro31: doesn't show hand
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot $8.08 | Rake $0.36

    Last edited by Gforce38; 02-16-2017 at 09:05 PM.
    Gforce38 is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 02-17-2017, 07:30 AM   #2
    Join Date: Jan 2017
    Posts: 3
    Re: Tricky spot A10

    I think your call pre flop is a little questionable especially vs a tag in early position.
    Your flop raise doesn't accomplish anything either seems like you set your self up to get called by better hands and your letting worst hands fold.
    Once we get to the river though he's betting 4.40 into 8.08 and the total pot if we were to call is going to be 16.88 so we only need 26% equity to break even and if villain is betting 100% of his flop continue range then we should have 39% equity which makes this call +EV.
    EV=[our equity]*[total pot]-cost of our call
    NewSense is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 02-17-2017, 07:55 AM   #3
    Join Date: Oct 2012
    Posts: 3,124
    Re: Tricky spot A10

    Preflop not questionable simply bad.
    Flop raise is optimistic (bad) turn river wp.

    But most important just dont be in the spot.
    Shamway99 is offline   Reply With Quote
    Old 02-17-2017, 11:37 AM   #4
    Mike MacIntosh
    Join Date: May 2006
    Location: Value-Stacking Myself
    Posts: 2,984
    Re: Tricky spot A10

    Villain is Tight A with low VP and PFR stats. Plays fairly standard post-flop
    Fold preflop. Villains opening range is weight heavily, towards hands that dominate AT (22+,ATs+,KQs,AJo+). Much better to call 33/65s/T9s, then A9o/A8o/KTo. In this spot, even 74s is better than ATo.

    Call flop. Villain holds many hands that are ahead of us (JJ+). Worse hands than AT, will be uncomfortable calling a raise.

    Last edited by Mike MacIntosh; 02-17-2017 at 11:44 AM.
    Mike MacIntosh is offline   Reply With Quote


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