NL25 turned straight on flush board facing raise
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 265
NL25 6-max
100bb effective stack
UTG raise 0.70
Hero button K♥️J♥️ calls
Flop 7♣️9♣️Q♣️$1.75
Villain checks
Hero bets $1.40
Villain calls
Turn 10♥️ $4.55
Villain checks
Hero bets $3.35
Villain raises $8.20
Hero?
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 66
Loosely estimating, give him AcKo-Ac-To (3combos)
Ac-Tc (3 combos)
AA-KK with a club (5 combos)
JJ-TT with a club (5 combos)
QQ (3 combos)
TT (3 combos)
99 (3 combos)
77 (3 combos)
Fudge factor of some screwy flopped flush? (Say 8 combos)
That range Hero is beating 25 combos, losing to 11. He could be raising a set of more likely imo, value bluffing AcJx. I say get it in and pay the man if he has some screwy JTcc flush.
Join Date: Jul 2016
Posts: 2,799
Looks like a set of TT or a flopped flush what else could it be?
Would KcQx, really play like this? IMO people do not play a pair + draw type of hand like this.
His hand is ranged heavily towards a flush. Not saying fold. Cause I most likely call and reevaluate
glgl
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 265
Hero called, river club and checked down Villain shows 10♣️10♦️. Is jamming turn the best option? Feel like calling gives Villain extra equity.
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Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 656
Can you get called by worse if you ship the turn? I think so. Other than a flush you have the nuts. Sometimes you're drawing dead and when you get called you're going to get outdrawn some of the time. It's a high variance spot.
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 265
Yeah, that's a good point. In the moment shipping it felt like a bad move because it would only get called by flushed but in retrospect shipping it on the turn is a good play in this situation.
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