iPoker - $0.04 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG+1: 61 BB (VPIP: 28.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 25)
MP: 102.75 BB (VPIP: 12.61, PFR: 11.54, 3Bet Preflop: 4.20, Hands: 473)
MP+1: 59.5 BB (VPIP: 47.13, PFR: 3.45, 3Bet Preflop: 2.38, Hands: 89)
MP+2: 103.25 BB (VPIP: 24.10, PFR: 16.87, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 86)
Hero (CO): 213 BB
BTN: 112.75 BB (VPIP: 21.09, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 4.26, Hands: 147)
SB: 106.25 BB (VPIP: 8.50, PFR: 4.90, 3Bet Preflop: 0.89, Hands: 306)
BB: 100 BB
UTG: 77.5 BB (VPIP: 18.10, PFR: 9.52, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 106)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, Hero posts penalty blind 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has T Q

fold, fold, fold, MP+1 calls 1 BB, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, BTN calls 4 BB, fold, fold, MP+1 calls 3 BB

Flop: (13.5 BB, 3 players) 5 J 7
MP+1 checks, Hero bets 11.25 BB, BTN calls 11.25 BB, fold

Turn: (36 BB, 2 players) 3
Hero checks, BTN bets 23 BB, Hero raises to 197.25 BB, fold

Hero mucks T Q (Flush, Queen High)

Hero wins 252.25 BB

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Yes this is a MW Pot and ranges are going to be narrower in this spot then say a HU pot, especially when BU cold calls with 1 villain left to act (usually ranges here will be TP+ and strong draws pretty polar).

-Given said ranges in MW Pot, i expect villain to bet almost always OTT maybe a bit less on this board texture
-Turn is a brick besides 64s combos we still have nut advantage, i do expect to get folds here on these bricks maybe a bit less again on this board texture because of defends of flush combos OTF & pair + draws.

-I guess theoretically we will be checking to just have defends as well, but more focused on just maxing EV vs anyone i play


On this texture there is a argument for just betting pot here/3-barreling and getting it AI OTR

Again not sure when to have x-raising range OTT & OTF, i'd say it's a pretty frequent spot in that i just want to be taking the most +EV line like ik you can't go wrong with just betting the nuts either.

I think I prefer leading the turn. X/R looks much stronger and folds out some of his weaker holdings and draws that we might get some thin river value on given a brick or something that randomly improves Vs hand.

Yes leading the turn might fold out some of his air or weaker holdings, but I'm not sure V will float flop with less than a pair or two overs plus draw type hands, although we do block some of those.

When we x/r I think the only hands we are getting action from are hands that either beat us or hands that will call a river bet anyway.

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Yeah i agree in this spot i think betting turn + river is better like even though his range is narrow i still think it's going to be stuff like 88-TT with a or a pair + nut club which are actually a lot of combos which will get to realize by xing turn when we x back.

IMO my assumptions about villain's at the micros is that they will over-call vs a x-raise still, but i guess in this spot i was trying to set up stacks to GII even though i didn't see that i cud still GII OTR...

With a x-raise our goal is to deny equity + get stacks in vs villain's nutted/value range obv, with the former if villain has a lot of strong draws like Ac draw + pair & OESD x-raising and getting him to bet is going to be more +EV then betting and getting him to fold that stuff (assumption that he folds), and if we have assumption that villain over-defends with those hands vs a bet then but not vs. a x-raise then obviously we take the highest EV decision.