Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > Tournament Poker > MTTc - Live

Notices

MTTc - Live Live updates from major events, logistics, trip reports, and other live (not televised) major tournament discussion

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 06-15-2012, 04:51 PM   #46
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
DoGGz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: becoming the best
Posts: 9,726
Re: How soft is $1000 WSOP?

Quote:
Originally Posted by riverfish1 View Post
For your WSOP example, I have to outlast 2699 other people to get paid. For the Bellagio cup I only need to outlast 53 other people. Its generally easier to outlast 53 people than 2699. Thus its easier to cash in the smaller event than the larger one. So if the field is exactly the same toughness, it's not equal. I have to win a ton more chips (which requires winning a lot more hands in spots with the same cEV) than in the second example.
Spoiler:
DoGGz is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-15-2012, 06:02 PM   #47
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
PokerFink's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Panic Station
Posts: 11,840
Re: How soft is $1000 WSOP?

Quote:
Originally Posted by riverfish1 View Post
For your WSOP example, I have to outlast 2699 other people to get paid. For the Bellagio cup I only need to outlast 53 other people. Its generally easier to outlast 53 people than 2699. Thus its easier to cash in the smaller event than the larger one. So if the field is exactly the same toughness, it's not equal. I have to win a ton more chips (which requires winning a lot more hands in spots with the same cEV) than in the second example.
This is completely wrong.
PokerFink is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-16-2012, 03:19 AM   #48
adept
 
pezbaby's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: I'm a bunny now
Posts: 920
Re: How soft is $1000 WSOP?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Black Aces 518 View Post
what i mean is that there are only so many 'elite' players. if 25 of them play the Bellagio and 200 of them play the WSOP, 'elite' players still make up a much greater portion of the field in the B, and by pure math, some 'non-elite' players will cash the WSOP since there are 200 of them and 300 cash spots.
Yeah, there are "only so many elite players"...and they are all in town trying to win money and bracelets.

This thread is making my head hurt.
pezbaby is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-16-2012, 09:29 AM   #49
Pooh-Bah
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: 2011 Winstar River Main Event Champ
Posts: 4,949
Mine too! What % of the field in a WSOP 1k do you think qualifies as excellent or better? What % in a Bellagio 1k?


There were 4k players in the 1k seniors. There will be 90 or so in the 50k 8game. If anyone thinks the 8game is easier to cash than he senior event giant lulz.
Black Aces 518 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-16-2012, 10:28 AM   #50
veteran
 
McMelchior's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Trans-continental
Posts: 2,285
Re: How soft is $1000 WSOP?

Lots of weird **** kicking around in this thread.

A. How many players you have to outlast to get down to 10% of the field has no impact on your odds against outlasting them.

B. In two tournaments with same relative number of skilled players (say one out of ten is a seasoned pro) bigger field means the risk of starting at a table with an overrepresentation of strong players is smaller, but with a sample of ten you're never going to have a perfect "normal" distribution at one specific table.

C. The structure modifies the skill effect (LDO). Extreme example: In a ten player tournament where each player starts with one chip, the damaging effect of playing against Phil Ivey is much smaller compared to a tournament where everybody starts with 100,000 chips.

Quote:
Originally Posted by yada View Post
I finally got the BR to play $1000 event#54
OP doesn't appear to understand the concept of a BR (if he did it's unlikely he would be asking questions about "the toughness of the field"). Having $1,000 is not being rolled for a $1,000 MTT; having $50k - $100k is.

Quote:
Originally Posted by yada View Post
Just hate to dump $1000 away, but definitely want to give myself a chance at the big prize, maybe parlay that into main event, hehe.
If OP wants to give himself a better of playing the ME for his $1k, adding a few $100s and winning 3 consecutive even chance roulette (or craps) bets will serve him much better than navigating a big field low buy-in WSOP MTT. Also, this way there will be no W2 mess to deal with.
McMelchior is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-16-2012, 10:58 AM   #51
Pooh-Bah
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: 2011 Winstar River Main Event Champ
Posts: 4,949
Quote:
Originally Posted by PokerZombie View Post
Playing the 1k WSOP last week.

I called a lead from the blind on the turn with 43hh on AJ85hh board.
River-J.
Check from him after he plays with his chips. I can't tell if a bluff will work so I just check it back (poor/nitty play).
He looks at the dealer "Do I have to show or can I just muck?"
Me -silence
Dealer -"You can just fold"
Him-"Yea then I fold"
Me-"I wanted to bet but I didn't trust you not to check raise" (just for fun- sounded fishy enough in my mind)-fold without showing/win pot

Same tournament-
Folds to SB who folds AJcc face up to my BB

Same tournament-
Folds to Bu who minraise. Same sb makes it 12x with AA and shows it, then looks at me and says "I would have folded if he didn't raise" (I believed him too).
You have good players and you have these guys in 1k WSOPs. They aren't playing 1k Bellagios.
Black Aces 518 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-17-2012, 02:27 AM   #52
grinder
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Vancouver
Posts: 530
Re: How soft is $1000 WSOP?

I played the seniors event for the first time and was stunned by the plays I saw. There were lots of people like me who were just wanting that first WSOP experience and I must admit I picked the seniors event to avoid running into a lot of you guys and/or the pros. There were lots of pros in the event but luckily they weren't at my tables.

I'd heard about the bad play in the cheaper events but nothing can prepare you for what you'll see. Lots of players went out in the first level and it wasn't because they were trying to chip up early. Well, some may have been but the ones I saw left us shaking our heads with their terrible play.

I think it is best to be on time for the $1000 events to take advantage. Later in the day, the play was much better although not nearly as aggressive as I would expect an open event to be.

Happy to say I cashed although just barely. So I'm one for one.
Fletch46 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-17-2012, 03:38 AM   #53
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 16,420
Re: How soft is $1000 WSOP?

Nice!

Damn, now I'm really pissed I missed it. I couldn't miss work because they needed coverage in case someone had a major problem. Nobody did. >grrrr<

Your experience is substantially different than when I played it a couple years ago. I had a tough nitty table, just like one would expect, but I could catch any hands.
pig4bill is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 06-17-2012, 03:47 AM   #54
old hand
 
oNste's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Australia/Micro stakes Stars tab
Posts: 1,745
Quote:
Originally Posted by PokerFink View Post
My table today had Erica Moutinho, Sean Getzwiller and an Australian guy who I recognize but can't think of his name (Tony something?) and randoms. Roughly average starting table for 2012. The days of you and 8 randoms are long gone.
It's either Tony Hachem (******) or Tony G (legend). If it was Hachem, can you please tell me you knocked him out?
oNste is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-17-2012, 05:42 AM   #55
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
PokerFink's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Panic Station
Posts: 11,840
Re: How soft is $1000 WSOP?

Quote:
Originally Posted by oNste View Post
It's either Tony Hachem (******) or Tony G (legend). If it was Hachem, can you please tell me you knocked him out?
Wasn't either of them.

I realized the Tony I was thinking of was Tony Poulis, and then I realized that's a soccer manager. So I dunno.
PokerFink is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-28-2012, 11:18 AM   #56
newbie
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 39
Re: How soft is $1000 WSOP?

Any one with luck this year at WSOP? I will post my result after I play on July 1st.
yada is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-28-2012, 03:45 PM   #57
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
riverfish1's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 10,192
Re: How soft is $1000 WSOP?

played in the $1k NLHE event. Thought the field was incredibly soft for most of my time there (second to last table I was at where I lost 2/3 of my stack was tough). Finished in 83rd.
riverfish1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-04-2012, 08:03 PM   #58
newbie
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 39
Result of my first WSOP

Well, thanks guys for all your help and comments.

I just got back from my very first WSOP and my very first $1000 buy-in. My highest buy-in was <$300 previously.

There were 3221 entrants. The game was tough. Maybe it was just my table and my position. I had a Euro young gun directly on my left. He's been min-raising from all spots. He's been also 3-betting me light all the time. So, I had to pick my spots wisely with such a shallow stack.

I had to go all in at lvl 1 which I absolutely hated. I had AK and just tried to squeeze with a call and a LP re-raise. LP called and turned up AcKc. He had a freeroll by on the turn with 2 clubs on the board. My heart was really pounding with 1 card to come and I had to dodge a club.

Luckily I made it. I continued to chip up slowly and steadily. Actually I had to go all in 3 times in the first 4 lvls. The 3000 starting chips was just a little too short as expected.

I was never moved and this is the only time I wished I got moved. I hated my spot acting before the young Euro guy (he had a stack of $500 Euro, and bundle of $100 USD, so obviously a Euro pro).

Finally, young Euro pro's AK got crushed by David "Bakes" Baker's 99 all in (who won the $10K HORSE this year.) That left Euro short and he was quickly eliminated.

Then it was smooth sailing for me into about 1am when we made the money.

I went back to work on day 2 at 1pm to join the other 264 players. I had never seen AA once in 11 hrs on day 1. Luckily, I got AK quite a few times, KK a couple times. Trip once. Flop a straight. I finally got my AA on day 2 and doubled up. Then this questionable hand came up and please feel free to discuss it at the strategy forum:

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/87...illan-1218392/

I made it way past 100 but still long way from $10K (#36). So, I couldn't parlay my earnings into the $10K ME. Guess, I just had to wait till next year. At least I made the money and can decide on $1K or $1.5K event next year.
yada is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-12-2012, 01:05 AM   #59
journeyman
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 218
Re: How soft is $1000 WSOP?

Yada -

I played one 1500 and one 1000 this year. The 1500 was full of limpers and passive players and was easy to play.

My 1K table had two bracelet winners and at least one if not two other young pros (all to my left) where I had to nit up and play super, super tight.

Other than the $500, don't expect it to be any harder.

MDM
MoreDeadMoney is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off



All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:20 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Content Relevant URLs by vBSEO 3.6.0 ©2011, Crawlability, Inc.
Copyright © 2008-2010, Two Plus Two Interactive