Quote:
Originally Posted by JustRunLikeGod
I was wondering what the theoretical top ROI would be in these megas. I was thinking the best person to answer this question would be someone with a lot of experience in online megas and has played the WSOP Megas before. I have played the WSOP Megas but I have do not have enough experience online to have a comprehension of what game conditions would correlate to what ROI. I would think someone who does have the experience online and has played the WSOP Megas would be able to compare the two and come up with a good estimation.
Here is the math. First assume 10% vig. Second, assume comparison to a 6700 player regular MTT.
If you were an average player your return would obviously be -10% for both. (ie getting allin with 50% chance to win the flip) If you were twice as likely to win a standard MTT, your ROI would be +33.46% for the MTT, but only +7.88% for the satellite. Being 2x as likely to win corresponds to getting allin on average as a 52.8% favorite.
If you were 3x as likely to win the MTT, your MTT ROI would be +70.37%, and your satellite ROI would be +19.93%. (this corresponds to a 54.51% allin advantage)
If you were 4x as likely to win the MTT, your MTT ROI would be +103.84% and your satellite ROI would be +29.3%. (this corresponds to a 55.76% allin advantage).
If the MTT was only 500 players, the ROI's for it would be lower since there is less money to win.