i've been playing around with RVG's ROI Simulator a lot lately, for people looking to get a feel for variance i think it's really interesting. possibly depressing. his website is down and i couldnt find a download link, but if anyone wants it:
http://www.mediafire.com/?p81g240axlqcsg7 that should work.
edit: takes a little bit of work to rig it for bigger mtts, for a sunday million neutral player:
place $ %
1 255281 .0115 #This is first place payouts
2 158355 .023 #2nd and 3rd's avg payouts
3 45915 .069 #rest of FT's avg
4 5336 .207 #final 2-3 tables payouts
5 1811 1.763 #another chunk, etc etc
6 687 3.112
7 405 9.335
Last edited by Exitonly; 01-21-2011 at 05:19 AM.