Sorry if it's the wrong thread area.
This is a casino poker tournament $50.00 USD for buy in and entry fee.
about 90 people showed up for this tournament, top 9 are in the money.
I'm pretty familiar with most of the players in this casino and they of me. I generally play 2-3 times a week there.
This is near the end of the tournament, 4 players are left. I have around 195,000 in chips and am second only to the chip leader at 205,000 in chips.
To put it in perspective, the other players have around 25k in chips, and the blinds are 2.5k-5k
I get A
and am first to act. I don't really want to flat-call with the possibility of going up against 4 players. A standard raise of about 3x seems a bit high to me when 15k is basically the same as forcing the little stacks all in. So I decide for a rather un-orthodox min-raise to 10k total.
second to act calls, SB folds, while BB (the chipleader) re-raises to 50k. I'm pretty familiar with the chipleader and know he's not raising me unless he thinks he has me beat. I know he doesn't think i'm bluffing but I also don't think he puts me on a monster. That doesn't tell me much about what he has though other than it's not utter crap, but I also don't think he has a monster... of course I've been wrong before
after deliberating I figure he has something like pocket 8's - 10's or AJ or better. I don't put him on a monster like AA, KK or AK - besides I had cards he needed for those hands, making it even less of a possibility.
Figuring he won't call with 10's or AJ (or less of course) I shove. SB folds.
I might have been right... but it turns out he had one of the hands that I figured he could
My question is, can I fold this pre-flop with the reads I had?