Some not-very-detailed, probably level 1 analysis. Grunch format, haven't read any of the thread to this point, so starting from the beginning.
Player list notes
Known easy lynches:
domer2
kope
Tappokone to a certain extent
People I wouldn't want to lynch day 1:
the known easy lynches
chrja
Swiitch
VarianceMinefield
numbers-guy assuming he's new, unless he shows he knows how to play
Reasoning: I don't like easy lynches day 1. The other 3 are for strength of play. I think maybe after Crossnerd's mish-mash I have a better handle on how Swiitch plays and his range is apparently polarized so he should clear himself/implicate himself soon, no need for day 1 pressure.
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Tappokone starts us off with what is, as far as I can tell, his typical entry. Steve Yzerman fan immediately
starts questioning him, things I will be looking for based on this: does SYF aggressively question other players or is it just Tappokone? Want to make sure he's actually trying to hunt wolves or whatever he's doing. SYF
wants more interaction, last game as wolf he entered with a long analysis post or two and didn't seem too keen on interacting day 1.
LaRue05 probably just doesn't know that Tappokone always posts that, in fact I think it's copy-pasted from previous games or something; the first time I saw Tappokone's entry like that I thought it was wolfy so I can see where LaRue05 is coming from (but it's role neutral for Tappokone).
ShipItUp gets villa leans on SYF and LaRue early, I can maybe see SYF but not necessarily LaRue. SIU shows
here and
here that he actually looked at Tappokone's linked games, which is really villagery for him in fact.
LaRue makes the same observation, which unfortunately gets very little credit because SIU already posted the same thing.
kope comes in
and makes a post that looks really wolfy which he does as either role IMO (tbh I'm not quite sure how to tell the difference between wolfy villager kope and wolfy wolf kope which is why I'd like a couple days for him to maybe get some clearance by voting or make some longer analysis or something).
SYF thinks it's wolfy from kope to throw a vote which may be true (I haven't seen the turbos in question), the question is would he/could he start a game as villager with a random vote? Given my observations of kope's game I'd lean to yes. I don't like kope voting SYF here though.
ShipItUp pressing kope = wolf due to the vote pretty hard doesn't look good for him since imo he should know that kope is a wolfy villager, but looks like SIU may have some extra insight into kope's game?
domer2
entry post is solidly villager domer2 IMo. tappokone
post on SYF is well thought out and I want to give Tappo a villa lean for it (that said I disagree with SYF as wolfy due to tone considerations). Aggressive SIU on domer2 action
starting here actually to me looks good for both of them, appears to be to be v/v, SIU is actively wolf-hunting and I think the tone of domer's responses is good.
Continuing on
domer2 guns after McAvoy for his opening post, meh. Want to see more McAvoy posts (which I'm sure I will, and if he just said the couple little things he said and nothing more I'm probably voting him). I can see domer thinking it's wolfy. domer overthinks it though, I think that's villager from domer.
And finally kope makes
another crappy post go figure, don't think I can pull anything from it.
Page 1 reads summary
Villagers: Steve Yzerman fan, Tappokone, domer2
Maybe villagers: ShipItUp
Need to see more: kope, McAvoy, LaRue05
Two Plus Two
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