Alright, I went ahead and set up a home game. Whenever we get critical mass and all have a couple hours free we can schedule a game. Everyone's welcome of course, feel free to invite your friends.

- If you don't already have it, download the free PokerStars software
from http://www.pokerstars.com/poker/download/
- Open the main poker lobby, then click on the Home Games tab
- Click the 'Join a Poker Club' button
- Enter my Club ID number: 640572
- Enter my Invitation Code: nothreesplease

I applied

Just approved you and donk4. If any of you are interested in organizing, let me know and i'll make you an admin.

God, last rack mistake yesterday, cost me about 0.431 rating points.

What are people's thoughts on my play in Round 7 yesterday? Basically there are three fairly decent plays, each of which has a losing combo:

6 top of centre zone and 2 in bottom zone;
6 bottom of centre zone and 2 in bottom zone
6 bottom zone and 2 bottom of centre zone.

I didn't actually see option 3 at the time, but think now that this is probably/definitely best. I actually played option 1 because I thought 2s were more valuable than 5s, blocking 5s and causing me to give up a win. Grim, I actually thought about this for a minute or two, and still didn't see option 3. I think I initially dismissed it as it loses with no 2 in Round 8 and a 2 in Round 9, but have since realised the other options lose with one 2 in Round 8 and none in Round 9!

If I keep up like this I´m going to lose my daily expert status.

I would have chosen option 2, but 1/2 seem fairly equal since any superiority depends on getting two 2s or 5s in the next rack. I don't like option 3 since it leaves you with a stranded 2 if you don't get a 2 in the next rack.

i like #2, chiefly because #1 gives up on a 5, whereas there's still some chance of #2 being connecting all bar the one 4 in the rhs, given a perfect roll.

I don't get this, #1 would actually give you a chance to snake 4s if you get three in the next rack and one in the last.

ok, rephrase: i think there are more scenarios in which #2 is 'perfect' (close to perfect) than #1 - essentially #2 you need to roll twox5 vs threex4 plus another one.

Wow can't believe I won yesterday. When I was playing I was getting angry at myself for playing bad and was sure I'd be bottom 10.

QFT. 40 DCs without a win between this win and the last one. During those 40 games ran almost 4 wins below expected last rack wins, so it wasn't only about playing poorly. Also compared some quick estimation %s with actually calculated %s, and based on the small sample size (ten-ish) it seems like the quick odds estimations might be just slighty lower than the actual percentages on average, but the difference was total just 3 percentage points more for the exact calculations in all of the games combined, with a simple game never being more than 3 (rounded) percentage points different. So the average seems so close that without further evidence to point otherwise I'm going to assume the quick estimations are just about right over the long term even though single estimations might not be that accurate.

Nobody probably cares, but this is actually wrong. 1378 would be the average rating of the players I have played against, since the number is based on my results. So including my rating, the average for all players playing DCs is around 1382.

Started yesterday from 1499, finished 5/27, which means my rating is at least 1499.67 after yesterday, should be even higher, since I'm pretty sure I got to 1499 before everyone had played the day before, so I'm guessing it is now at around 1499.8. Which makes the last rack mistake a few days ago really costly, would be Master now without that. To makes things worse I seem to have lost the ability to play even a single game well.

drought broken. Phew.

I thought it was a classic snipable DC yesterday, too.

It's not letting me play my advanced, bug won't let me start new games or undo. My advanced is therapeutic. I need my advanced.

And thanks for letting me know how below average I was at DC's. I should have quit sooner. Y'all are just mean.