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| Puzzles and Other Games Discussions about Puzzles and other non-gambling games |
08-06-2012, 01:47 AM
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#91
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: CRAI me a river.
Posts: 9,978
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by hardcoreUFO
well it sucks a lot that e.g. on the second mission we need FOUR villagers to get it through. if it's true that the first mission always succeeds because a spy wouldn't out himself that early, it's pretty ****ing tough to win it regardless. i can't think of a optimal strategy. i mean i could think of one if people actually voted accordingly, that's probably not going to happen.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hardcoreUFO
well it makes sense that it can be -ev for the wolves to vote accordingly with only three players to vote i believe. at least that's what's been said copiously in websites i saw about the game. although with 4 wolves that might not apply.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hardcoreUFO
just thought of something. if luckay comes with mets/ibav that might force them to vote for the mission. as ibav said, we won't let their missions go through otherwise. of course that only works if luckay is a villager.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hardcoreUFO
not sure if regular WW tone reads apply. spies don't have all the information
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hardcoreUFO
^^ nevermind. they do.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hardcoreUFO
it's actually pro-villa that they do, except for mission 4.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hardcoreUFO
i'll go to bed now, sorry for spamming the thread with bad strat and stuff. i'm drunk.
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Don't know too much about this guy, but this flurry of posts looks pretty good I think. - He already goes back and forth in a villagery way.
- He shows "brainwaves": he seems to be thinking about strategy, doesnt even let it simmer but posts right in the thread.
- Obviously thinking about a good villager strat.
- He is drunk.
Off to work now. But Luckay, I think you need to pick this guy on the team.
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08-06-2012, 02:31 AM
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#92
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Sweden, you should visit.
Posts: 6,016
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
Thought while working.
What if we dont mind if the first two missions fail and instead try to set them up for max information, moving focus from chance of success to information.
In my mind that sets up diffrent teams
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08-06-2012, 02:34 AM
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#93
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Sweden, you should visit.
Posts: 6,016
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by BombayBadboy
Don't know too much about this guy, but this flurry of posts looks pretty good I think. - He already goes back and forth in a villagery way.
- He shows "brainwaves": he seems to be thinking about strategy, doesnt even let it simmer but posts right in the thread.
- Obviously thinking about a good villager strat.
- He is drunk.
Off to work now. But Luckay, I think you need to pick this guy on the team.
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What he said
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08-06-2012, 03:09 AM
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#94
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: League of Legends
Posts: 35,754
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
I'm going to pick in about 50 minutes
My tentative team will be said in about 20 minutes
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08-06-2012, 03:11 AM
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#95
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Sweden, you should visit.
Posts: 6,016
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
The leader should theoreticly always include himself, atleast in the begining, we should be fine with it.
Blindly refusing to send
Thingy
Fine with
Domer
Hardcore
Leader
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08-06-2012, 03:15 AM
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#96
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veteran
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: beating vmf all day
Posts: 2,654
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by LuckayLuck
I'm going to pick in about 50 minutes
My tentative team will be said in about 20 minutes
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Luckayluck if you pick me, I'll polish your shoes.
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08-06-2012, 03:16 AM
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#97
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: League of Legends
Posts: 35,754
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
Here are my top 4 villagers so far (in no particular order):
Mets
Ibavly
Bombay
Hardcore
I'll likely be choosing 2 out of those 4
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08-06-2012, 03:19 AM
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#98
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veteran
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: beating vmf all day
Posts: 2,654
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by LuckayLuck
Here are my top 4 villagers so far (in no particular order):
Mets
Ibavly
Bombay
Hardcore
I'll likely be choosing 2 out of those 4
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Bombay and hardcore only option IMO
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08-06-2012, 04:13 AM
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#99
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: League of Legends
Posts: 35,754
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
Ibavly
Quote:
Originally Posted by ibavly
seriously though
send the next 2 leaders on the mission?
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Thinking strategically about game
Quote:
Originally Posted by ibavly
I don't think we should allow the leader in the team
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Thinking strategically about game (though bad advice imo)
Quote:
Originally Posted by ibavly
lowers the power of wolves
we gain info on more players
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Thinking strategically about game (to back up previous statement - makes some sense)
Quote:
Originally Posted by ibavly
but wolves are 40%
so losing one to get rid of 2 villagers is worthwhile
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Thinking strategically about game (from a villager perspective - wolf would be afraid to say this I think)
Quote:
Originally Posted by ibavly
I think strategically what I have said earlier makes sense. I'm not leader for a long time.
But this game is mathematically pro-wolf. We need to establish accepted villagers at some point.
If the team feels that I am fit I am more than happy to fight for the resistance every round.
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Not pushing himself to be in the team very strongly, a "team player" villager sort of tone here
Quote:
Originally Posted by ibavly
thought: wolf leaders are more likely to pick two villas since it increases odds of approval and hurts the villagers reps
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Thinking strategically about game and again probably something a wolf wants to keep to himself rather than say
All in all ibavly has thought about things from a villager perspective, re-considered his one strategy I thought was questionable (don't send yourself as leader) and tone wise just seems like a villager.
Very likely to pick ibavly
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08-06-2012, 04:18 AM
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#100
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: League of Legends
Posts: 35,754
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
metsandfinsfan
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
luckay
i am 100% a villager. i dont have any way to prove it to you. and i have no idea if you are one or not,
you do know me pretty well though. and i know you pretty well. your last wolf game against me, you pushed me and lynched my fakepeek and nightkilled me. generally, when you are a villager, you know i am
so if you dont pick me, i will consider you a wolf.
which means unless i am somehow convinced that the other 2 people you picked are villagers, which is pretty unlikely, then i will vote against the team
capish?
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Starts with what I consider metsy-villagery (very aggressively pushing for himself to go on the mission since "the only guy he can trust is himself") and aggressively states he'll vote against everything else
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
if luckay is a wolf im pretty sure the first mission will succeed anyway
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villagery perspective strategy comment
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
well we have to allow the leader i think
if the leader is a villager, then he needs to go 3/3 instead of 2/2 if he doesnt send himself
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Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
if mission 1 fails, then all 3 people on mission one can never be leader or on any team
so they would be stupid to let it fail the more i think about it
if i were a wolf, id prob pick 1 wolf buddy and 1 villager and pass the mission
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villagery perspective strategy comment
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
i trust ibav i think and would love it if you picked he and i
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I too trust ibav and it was a good read at this point
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
id have to think the wolves are the favorites based on the numbers. if the first 2 missions fail it's almost unrecoverable
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thinks the wolf team is the favorite
that's a villagery perspective
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
ok so say the leader is a villager
the odds of him picking 3 villagers is 5/9*4/8*3/7=15/126 or less than 10%
the odds of him picking 2 villagers is 5/9*4/8 = 5/18 or almost 30%
yes, this is with no info
but the leader has to include himself
people against it are either wolves or not smart
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mets a big advocate in leader choosing himself, which I feel for mission 1 is almost certainly correct
My conclusion is mets is pretty villagery and is someone I could see picking for the mission
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08-06-2012, 04:21 AM
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#101
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: League of Legends
Posts: 35,754
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
HardcoreUFO
Not sure why I had him as a villager
On re-read he's not that villagery
I think it's because he was really active in responding and was very "here's my thoughts" - I mean - transparent.
Quote:
Originally Posted by hardcoreUFO
not sure if regular WW tone reads apply. spies don't have all the information
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(they do)
lots of posts like this which are incorrect (if first 3 leaders are wolves, village loses, etc)
but the way they were flurried together and the way he came up with them seems like a villager perspective
Quote:
Originally Posted by hardcoreUFO
i'll go to bed now, sorry for spamming the thread with bad strat and stuff. i'm drunk.
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Conclusion: Village lean
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08-06-2012, 04:22 AM
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#102
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: League of Legends
Posts: 35,754
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
BombayBadBoy
Quote:
Originally Posted by BombayBadboy
Heh. Fair enough.
I think we shouldn't discuss wolf strategy for one very important reason: they cannot communicate with eachother so they will have some trouble coordinating their moves. Some might not even know any proper strategies so I propose we are not going to give them any ideas.
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Good strategy
Quote:
Originally Posted by BombayBadboy
Don't know too much about this guy, but this flurry of posts looks pretty good I think. - He already goes back and forth in a villagery way.
- He shows "brainwaves": he seems to be thinking about strategy, doesnt even let it simmer but posts right in the thread.
- Obviously thinking about a good villager strat.
- He is drunk.
Off to work now. But Luckay, I think you need to pick this guy on the team.
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Ah yes part of why I had hardcore villager is because of Bombay
I pretty much agree with the points above on why hardcore is a villagery
Bombay "village hunting" is villagery and I liked his strategy earlier
Lean villager on Bombay
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08-06-2012, 04:27 AM
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#103
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: League of Legends
Posts: 35,754
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
LuckayLuck's Proposed Team
Mission 1: LuckayLuck, Metsandfinsfan, Ibavly
Now, everyone will send a PM to Reno Extat either saying they are FOR or AGAINST this team. 6 FORs (or more - a majority) passes, 5 FORs or less will cause the next leader to propose a team for Mission 1.
Your vote is public but you PM Reno Extat since we all vote simultaneously
You are allowed to state what you PM'ed him (and you can lie)
You can try to convince everyone the vote is good or bad
I chose my two most likely villas so I voted FOR
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08-06-2012, 05:03 AM
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#104
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Sweden, you should visit.
Posts: 6,016
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
I am with shanks, hardcore and bombay was the better pair
Might be with it regardless, will decide when i get home
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08-06-2012, 06:35 AM
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#105
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Sweden, you should visit.
Posts: 6,016
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Re: The Resistance Game Thread
How about we get the three leaders next (ll + 2 more) to out their teams they would send?
Or maybee the first five should?
Domer, if we vote down ll what team will you send?
Same question to those next in line
Still working for another 4-5 hours but this is all i think about
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