https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?...sQ&hl=en#gid=0

ITG, we predict which 2011 upcoming movies will make bank at the box office this year. The winner will be determined in January 2012 based on Box Office Mojo's Yearly US Domestic Box Office Chart
(2010's is here: http://boxofficemojo.com/yearly/chart/?yr=2010&p=.htm)

We'll run this like a draft, likely reverse snake, standard draft rules, etc. The only difference is that there will be an objective ranking in this draft, albeit delayed 9 months.


Criteria: You may only pick a movie that has not yet released
(we can use box office mojo; link for 3/14 releases on bom: http://boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?v...weeks=4&p=.htm)

Points:
Main: Your score is the domestic gross according to the box office chart
Pity: If your movie doesn't make the box office mojo 2011 top 150 list when we tabulate in January, then we'll give it 27,000,000 points as long as it was out for at least 6 weeks in 2011 in at least 500 theaters for 3 of those according to the box office mojo movie page
(example; http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?pag...funnystory.htm)
Bonus:
1. Leader as of 5/27 will get 50,000,000 bonus points; 2nd place at that time will get 27,000,000 bonus points
2. Whomever has the 27th place film (if anyone) will get 27,000,000 bonus points
3. Whomever has the film that makes the least while still charting in the top 150 will get a 27,000,000 bonus point boost
4. Whomever has the latest release in the year that breaks $100,000,000 will get 27,000,000 bonus points; points split if a tie
5. Whomever has the film released prior to 5/25 that makes the most revenue by year end will get 27,000,000 bonus points


This will also be a place for people to see what major films are slated to come out this year, so you should post a writeup with current expected release date (month/season) and who is in it, what's it's about, etc; or at least a link to an info page for it so people can go learn about the movie

Same rules as normal; no talking about undrafteds, pm next player after you post, etc

Someone will need to create public spreadsheet in google docs for this.

We'll cap this at 10 teams each drafting 10 movies for now, but we'll start if we get to 7 teams; 70-100 movies is a good range to draft since only top 150 chart and we've already missed 2 months of movies

box office mojo already has over 250 movies on their release schedule slated for 2011:
http://boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?v...yr=2011&p=.htm


in:
Nich

in

this definitely should use some measure of profit not turnover - doesn't imdb or whatever include how much a movie cost to make?

in

(on TimeLady)

the box office mojo page for a movie has a 'production budget' that we could use

example: http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=toystory3.htm


OK, we'll have 2 winners; top overall gross and top profit (gross - production budget) based on box office mojo numbers

if movie has N/A for production budget on box office mojo page, then we'll use 27,000,000 as its budget (but you can't get negative points here, so if grosses less you'll get 0 for that movie for profit) unless you can find a number on imdb
- max profit for an N/A movie is 270,000,000 just in case some blockbuster movie has unknown production budget

Bonii based for the profit half of the competition (the OP bonii/pity points are only for top gross standings, not profit standings):
1. 27,000,000 points for the movie with budget $27M or lower that makes the most profit
2. Leader as of 5/27 will get 50,000,000 bonus points; 2nd place at that time will get 27,000,000 bonus points
3. Whomever has the latest release in the year that breaks $100,000,000 in profit will get 27,000,000 bonus points; points split if a tie
4. Whomever has the film released prior to 5/25 that makes the most profit by year end will get 27,000,000 bonus points
5. Pity Bonus: the movie with the least gross that has a production budget of $127,000,000 or higher will get a 27,000,000 bonus


Also, 3rd winner is whomever does best on both combined: gross + 2.7(profit) {based on final numbers, so all bonii applied prior to calculation}



(note: "as of 5/27" means that we'll use what box office mojo has on that day, which should include up to the week ending 5/26 and only movies that release by friday, 5/20)

in:
nich
derwi
timelady

kokiri, you in?

I think we should find a 4th even more complicated category.

in

the extra rules make the draft more interesting because there are other ways to win other than sort by major actor/director/franchise/biggest budget/etc; makes picks 7-10 more strategic as well

in:
nich
derwi
timelady
thingy
(maybe kokiri?)

go on then,

?

in

that's an /in/

in

in

Edit: Willing to co-own

in:
nich
derwi
timelady
thingy
kokiri
swiitch
chuck
ibavly


2 more spots; i'll rand Monday even if we get no more and start this; others can join at end of first round until we're full or start round 2

co-owners are allowed, etc etc yadda yadda

in

but what date should be the final results date? Probably not until some time well into 2012.

it's only money it makes in 2011, so it'll be january 2012; keep that in mind when picking late fall releases

Yeah, that makes enough sense.

Looking forward to a lot of fun !


(we going by domestic or international gross?)

ill be in if we don't have to do writeups which i assume we dont

well not a real writeup anyway

it's domestic gross

you should at least link to a page where u found info on it (imdb/yahoo/flixster/etc) and maybe the movie poster

why you think it'll do well is always appreciated, but not mandatory; this one will be won by actual outcome so not based on convincing others

in:
nich
derwi
timelady
thingy
kokiri
swiitch
chuck
ibavly
whitegoose
pwnsall

we'll start tomorrow; i may rand and put up thread today but clock won't start until tomorrow; let's do 6 hour time limit with 10-8 moratorium


if you still want in, i'm sure some will take co-owners and/or i may be convinced to add 1 or 2 more in there if someone really wants in

actually, for various reasons i need to be out

ok, we'll go with 9 and someone else can join by end of 1st round if they want

looking at 2010, #10 made only 25% of #1 so it's pretty top heavy

so i'm gonna do double reverse snake (?)

abbabababa

so #1 gets 1 and 20 and 30 and #10 gets 10,11,21 (assuming 10 players, not 9)