Monday 1-hour Werewolves Within Turbo - Page 7 - Puzzles and Other Games Forum

So anyone care to explain which terrible logic I'm supposed to be following? Or are house & Don just going to slank while jay posts silly things from his phone?

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:46 PM

#152

iraisetoomuch

banned

Join Date: Aug 2013 Posts: 37,475

So I think that I'm more likely to believe UFO than I am Gad.

If UFO was lying it almost always becase he's a wolf and he wants to get the 50% chance of heat off his wolf bro in either Don or Bread since house has claimed gossip and no one has countered him. So it would have to be exactly w/w with UFO/Don or UFO/Bread.
And that just seems unlikely from an odds standpoint.

The alternative is that Gad is lying, in which case, Gad could be any of the roles that I've listed in my previous post, and some of those we want to lynch and some of those we don't. But it does mean that either JM or Gad is a wolf. So jm3 imo

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06-19-2017 , 02:46 PM

#153

Donat3llo

Faster Than Ski Patrol

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 22,966

Quote:

Originally Posted by ihcjay

With gads info it let's villas win

No it doesn't

You'd be killing me or jay, correct that is the plan?

I'm a villa so wolves win

Jay could be villa - so wolves win

Jay could be TC - wolves win

Jay could be Deviant - he wins

How exactly does the village win here? Only if he is exactly the wolf, but he is pushing for a lynch of himself and me.

Wonder why that is.

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:46 PM

#154

Gadarene

bussing tammates

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 83,007

Quote:

Originally Posted by hardcoreUFO

you just played the last game with me where up until the end I didn't know what the rules were for lynching. this is my second game. I like to think I can be quick on my feet but ask yourself, who is more likely to do this: you with your decade experience in WW and playing all the time, or me on my second run.

guess what

this is your second game and it's so different from ww that your intelligence there can't transfer over when you've had several days since the time you were soooo confused about the rules?

this is my third game and first as a power role, so ditto ****ing ditto

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06-19-2017 , 02:47 PM

#155

Gadarene

bussing tammates

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 83,007

like, YOU WERE ACTUALLY TRACKER IN YOUR FIRST GAME

you would have some level of comfort with claiming the role

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06-19-2017 , 02:47 PM

#156

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,684

Quote:

Originally Posted by ihcjay

Maybe we should lunch JM and Don then

dont lynch don

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:47 PM

#157

Gadarene

bussing tammates

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 83,007

Quote:

Originally Posted by Donat3llo

lol

Don is the wolf

i'm voting him

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06-19-2017 , 02:48 PM

#158

JMurder3

not god, probably jebus

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 53,649

Quote:

Originally Posted by ihcjay

You know I'm telling the truth so you didn't try to refutr me saying I voted house for mayor.

I'm supposed to care enough to parse your post to tell you that you didn't do it? I'm not even 100% sure who gets to nominate a mayor. I'm sure whether you have voting rights or not, you would think that was a good idea because you both share the same dumbazz notion.

The question is why?

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:48 PM

#159

Gadarene

bussing tammates

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 83,007

Quote:

Originally Posted by housenuts

dont lynch don

read what i'm saying about ufo's incentive to fake claim tracker

respond to it

thanks in advance

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:48 PM

#160

iraisetoomuch

banned

Join Date: Aug 2013 Posts: 37,475

I'm fairly sure that most plans that involve trying to lynch multiple people in a game with as many as 4 people who won't play along is a really bad idea for us.

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:48 PM

#161

JMurder3

not god, probably jebus

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 53,649

Quote:

Originally Posted by iraisetoomuch

Turncloak?

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:49 PM

#162

Gadarene

bussing tammates

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 83,007

Quote:

Originally Posted by housenuts

so based on the info we have:

gad claim: don, me, jay (at least 1 wolf)
ufo claim: jm, irtm, gad (at least 1 wolf)

my claim: don and/or jay (villager)

so the possibilities:

gad telling truth. don or jay are lying. 50% chance.

ufo telling truth. 33% between jm, irtm, gad. A wolf doesn't fake claim tracker immediately or likely ever. Gad is unlikely to be wolf. So 50% between jm/irtm.

I'm more inclined to believe UFO's tracker claim than Gad's based on my info and doesn't make sense for UFO to counterclaim unless a) deviant or b) tc/wolf with Jay or Don and wants to avoid a 50% shot at one of them.

...and yet b) makes a ****ton of sense

so that's a giant "unless"

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:49 PM

#163

Gadarene

bussing tammates

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 83,007

Quote:

Originally Posted by iraisetoomuch

aghgfubfl489gn

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:50 PM

#164

JMurder3

not god, probably jebus

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 53,649

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMurder3

Turncloak?

I mean turncloak or wolf would do that, compared to tracker. Odds of him being tracker can't be higher than turncloak + wolf.

I thought it might be true that UFO was tracker until this ridiculous "logic" campaign started, though.

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:50 PM

#165

StuckinARutt

(╯°□°）╯︵ ┻━┻

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 38,148

The Voting phase has begun. PM your votes by :00

housenuts has been appointed Ringleader

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06-19-2017 , 02:50 PM

#166

hardcoreUFO

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 16,281

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gadarene

read what i'm saying about ufo's incentive to fake claim tracker

respond to it

thanks in advance

how about your incentive mf'er

is a wolf, claims tracker in the first post. if there's no real tracker you don't even get lynched at all. it's so easy for you to do this. **** my incentive, what about your incentive.

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:51 PM

#167

Gadarene

bussing tammates

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 83,007

whatever

i've done my part

i gave my information

i've explained why ufo would try and cast doubt on it

i have a headache

i'm voting Don

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06-19-2017 , 02:51 PM

#168

Donat3llo

Faster Than Ski Patrol

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 22,966

Meh, I'm happy with my lynch of jm3. Either way he isnt villagery so I'm happy to kill non villagery people.

I've claimed villager, interacted, and probably helped sniff out a wolf in jm3.

Villas, don't lynch me but no hard feelings if you do

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06-19-2017 , 02:51 PM

#169

ihcjay

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 44,298

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMurder3

LOLOLOLZ

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:52 PM

#170

Gadarene

bussing tammates

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 83,007

Quote:

Originally Posted by hardcoreUFO

my incentive is stipulated

it's irrelevant, because i'm telling the truth, but it's stipulated

your incentive is at issue because people have been trying to say that you don't have one as a wolf or turncoat

WHICH IS FLATLY WRONG

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:52 PM

#171

JMurder3

not god, probably jebus

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 53,649

Quote:

Originally Posted by Donat3llo

You guys use terrible logic, I complain about it, so I'm the wolf?

Your smugness is pathetic if you're a villager. If UFO is the tracker, & IRTM is the wolf, we never got to even go down that road because everyone wants to use the same useless logic.

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06-19-2017 , 02:52 PM

#172

ihcjay

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 44,298

I think its Don and JM

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06-19-2017 , 02:53 PM

#173

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,684

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gadarene

read what i'm saying about ufo's incentive to fake claim tracker

respond to it

thanks in advance

if Don is wolf, why doesn't he counterclaim tracker. if ufo is lying i'm more inclined he's deviant or tc than a wolfbro

Quote

06-19-2017 , 02:53 PM

#174

hardcoreUFO

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 16,281

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMurder3

forget about logic, think of what my wolf equity is, what gad's wolf equity is. and then proceed accordingly. neither me or gad is getting lynched now and we have little time.

just got me thinking, maybe one day two wolves can do that tracker claim and the village will just lynch outside of it lol.