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All-Seer Game Thread October The Nineteenth All-Seer Game Thread October The Nineteenth

10-20-2014 , 11:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by monstrman
Um okay well if you'd read it I actually said

"My peek was voracious Reader wolf but I don't know if that's actually true and kinda actually think I'm just paranoid"

But your response is kind of strange because it feels wishy washy
Actually that's what bothered me about YOUR post. It goes without saying that none of us know if our peeks are actually true, but you, unlike anybody else, went out of your way to say so.
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10-20-2014 , 11:23 AM
TN, are you happy today?
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10-20-2014 , 12:05 PM
I killed the thread.
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10-20-2014 , 12:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tappokone
A few things that came up last time:

1.) Wolf peeks aren't more likely to be wolves than villager peeks. Of the small minority of peeks that have anything to do with the peeked player's affiliation, half of them are flipped, on average.

2.) Don't lie about your peeks. Sorting players into seer types is a potential source of information for the village, but it doesn't work if someone lies about his peeks. (Yes, I'm looking at you, Batm.)
Yes, I read this. I know that wolf peeks aren't more likely to be wolves than villager peeks, however, what if a player has 3-4 different players peek them wolf? Then wouldn't the numbers sway in favor of lynching that person?
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10-20-2014 , 12:17 PM
dead thread is dead
All-Seer Game Thread October The Nineteenth Quote
10-20-2014 , 12:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by VoraciousReader
Actually that's what bothered me about YOUR post. It goes without saying that none of us know if our peeks are actually true, but you, unlike anybody else, went out of your way to say so.
This is a good post
All-Seer Game Thread October The Nineteenth Quote
10-20-2014 , 12:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by VoraciousReader
TN, are you happy today?
No. But that's beside the point.

Nice to see you tho
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10-20-2014 , 12:19 PM
I'm wondering what was so "paranoid" about my opening post

Seems very weird to classify me as such based on dropping my peek
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10-20-2014 , 12:20 PM
I own this thread
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10-20-2014 , 12:22 PM
I won't be here long enough to discuss this

but would the correct play from an analytic standpoint be to lynch the person that has been peeked by the most people ?

Thus allowing the largest number of people to gain added information irt to their role?

or am I just out to lunch here?
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10-20-2014 , 12:23 PM
I also do agree with UofU in the sense that a person who has a high concentration of people peeking them wolf is >rand to be wolf.

However there does exist a fair amount of flaws to that theory
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10-20-2014 , 12:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gamer Dude
I also do agree with UofU in the sense that a person who has a high concentration of people peeking them wolf is >rand to be wolf.

However there does exist a fair amount of flaws to that theory
It's the same as the logic you expressed about the most peeked person. There are obvious flaws in both, but as others have said, the first day will be very dark with a lot of information after the kills since we have full role reveals.
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10-20-2014 , 12:26 PM
TheNothing, now that I responded to tappokone, do you think differently of me? Why or why not?
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10-20-2014 , 12:30 PM
I now own this thread.

I wish for a vig
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10-20-2014 , 12:37 PM
Three in a row? Lightweight
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10-20-2014 , 12:39 PM
I didn't want to appear to be an eager beaver.
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10-20-2014 , 12:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by UofU2010
Yes, I read this. I know that wolf peeks aren't more likely to be wolves than villager peeks, however, what if a player has 3-4 different players peek them wolf? Then wouldn't the numbers sway in favor of lynching that person?
This is not what your initial post said. You said, let's lynch the people who get peeked wolf. That's why I voted you. This is a slightly better post.
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10-20-2014 , 12:40 PM
Everyone needs to give their peeks

Never lie about your peeks

Ignore peeks for the next few days

Never lie about your peeks

I'm horribly sick and miserable and I peeked gamer dude wolf

Never lie about your peeks
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10-20-2014 , 12:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNothing
This is not what your initial post said. You said, let's lynch the people who get peeked wolf. That's why I voted you. This is a slightly better post.
Should have been clearer with my original post, but thought it'd be obvious that if there are 3 players peeked wolf, and 1 of those people is peeked by 3 people, there's a higher likelihood they are a wolf.
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10-20-2014 , 12:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tappokone
A few things that came up last time:

1.) Wolf peeks aren't more likely to be wolves than villager peeks. Of the small minority of peeks that have anything to do with the peeked player's affiliation, half of them are flipped, on average.

2.) Don't lie about your peeks. Sorting players into seer types is a potential source of information for the village, but it doesn't work if someone lies about his peeks. (Yes, I'm looking at you, Batm.)
n0 tappo woof 4 rlz
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10-20-2014 , 12:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FranFran95
sup
i peeked tappo woof and im stickin to it
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10-20-2014 , 12:50 PM
I peeked ducks bcs he peeked me and me is a villager. I dont know will I stick to that though.
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10-20-2014 , 12:51 PM
Morning frands and fran
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10-20-2014 , 12:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LeonardoDicaprio
Morning frands and fran
Good morning, LeonardoDiCaprio.

Peek please.
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