Originally Posted by 425kid
1. That's only true if they think letting him work and mislynching him is worse for them than just nking him
2. You said they could abuse my plan by letting him live and auto winning at must lynch.
3. If binkles is a wolf my plan auto wins.
POINTS ONE AND TWO COMPLETELY CONTRADICT EACH OTHER.
HOW IS THIS HARD TO UNDERSTAND.
I already quoted the post
The bolded part is wrong.
Actually in regards to your game theory, all I said was that it is exploitable as most absolutes are. If binkles is a wolf we do not win unless he is the last wolf. We can get to must lynch with two wolves left.
let me try explaining this again.
things I said:
If binkles is a wolf he will not be NKed, so not being Nked makes it more likely he is a wolf.
If binkles is a wolf he should
be Nked by the wolves, not being NKed points to him being wolf
Creating a village consensus that AutoLynch binkles at mustlynch is exploitable.
All of these are true.
In fact creating an autolynch at mustlynch policy increases the chances wolves leave villa binkles alone till then by alot.
My pressing binkles increases the chances wolves leave villa binkles alone by a little.
The fact binkles was not NKed is not a huge amount of +wolf by itself. it was part of my thoughts on him.
Im currently looking at bremen per binkles request. I need to do alot of reading anyways as I skimmed all yesterday